This week’s new 52-week lows… (Nov 28-Dec 04)

There is a possibility the price will recover within five years. It is higher risk/reward to PPL-T, however. It needs more improvement in earnings quality for him to jump in.

It has been one of his top picks in the past. It is an extremely well managed company. It would not bother him too much to see the dividend cut in this environment.

Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by…

Shale gas in the US. A spin out from Bankers Petroleum (BNK-T). There is a lot of potential excitement but it just doesn't have the same management quality team. Just too risky in the market at this point.

He owns it. It is involved in Northern Quebec and there are rumours of some kind of merger with a mining operation in the same area.

Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult…

He won't buy any service stocks today. It just isn't profitable; the market isn't rewarding drilling. Stop drilling and buy stocks, is his message to the oil industry. He'd rather buy Trican who are buying back stock.

We are past the 'best-before' date and core investments in energy are going to be less and less for institutions and individual investors. You want to wait and see what a second COVID wave will look like as we get into the flu season. The futures curve points back to $50 in 2027. There will…

It is certainly a high risk/reward play. One thing it has going for it is a very favourable hedge going for it. The question is only going into next year, what will prices look like. They have net debt over $2 Billion. The dividend has been reduced to a level where it is hopefully sustainable.…

Enterprise value is very cheap. But the issue is they have debt. They did an infrastructure deal to reduce that debt. A big part of that debt is a 2024 maturity at a low interest rate, so Crew will survive. Their liquids are in a condensate-rich area. The stock has been hammered because of high…

Weakness in share price recently is related to their moving HQ into the US. Their strategy for the move is to trigger share buying in the US as they become part of a larger market index, he thinks. There is no guarantee this will happen in the US, so this is a pretty risky strategy.…

He stayed away because they went to the states to make acquisitions. He did not know why the Americans would not already take these assets. He stays away from it.

They paid down the debt recently and are in very good shape. They are doing less CAP-X this year. His target is $1.20 so there is lots of upside. It will be a Q4 opportunity.

He does thinks the dividend is at risk (40-60% cut). FRU-T cut their dividend in 2014 and did raise it back up as conditions improved and he expects FRU-T to do it again now. The best capitalized companies will thrive. He expects them to survive this downturn. He is looking to average down and get…

A mico-cap that had some major issues. He would not look at this at all.

Bottoming phase in early ’09 then a rally. Profit taking at end of summer. $0.40 is support level; If it breaks through $0.67 level he would see a dollar.

The stock is down 70% this year on fear of their bank line, which is now fully drawn. They have applied for government loans -- one of the first in the patch to do so. At $40 oil they generate free cash flow. When the market is ready for a corporate sale, you could see…

Convertible bonds with a 5.75% coupon They own a great base of real estate. The debt issue is a small piece. The bond is well-covered. MTL.DV-T. You get a 6-year option on the stock within the bond, with a $14 convert price. If oil recovers, these bonds will convert into equity. Until then, collect then.…

It took a big haircut in earnings in the last 90 days, down 57% this year and a projected 20% in 2021. Cash flow will shrink this year but expected to grown next year, but still lags its peers. NVA is a reasonable speculation, but he sees a better play in natural gas names in…

(A Top Pick Oct 22/18, Down 88%) He sold at $3.22, taking a big loss. They have a lot of worries. They are looking to sell the company. They might just liquidate the company, but clean up could be very expensive. He does not like stock consolidations and used that as a trigger to get…

There is a rumour that Paramount has acquired a 9% holding in Nuvista. Paramount is outspending their cash flow and announced, if required, they may look to sell off assets and this could Nuvista. Both companies share prices have been pushed sharply lower as a result.

(A Top Pick Apr 25/19, Down 53%) They sold out when they were stopped out last July. It is tough in the energy space right now. Investors have to avoid trying to be a bottom feeder and trade with tight stop loss levels.

(A Top Pick Jun 20/19, Down 66%) Of course, have been impacted by oil prices. They continue to pay down debt. Q2 and Q3 will have lower cash flows. It's been beat up and have a slight bounce from the low. He'll buy in Q4 during tax-loss selling. Nothing to move this stock up in…

70% revenue from condensate? Oil prices has recently rallied due to OPEC agreement extensions and a recovery in demand. Associated natural gas production has begin to rise again and natural gas prices have fallen. He thinks a large oil sands producer using condensate may take advantage of this company and consider it as an acquisition…

It is probably one of the better managed exploration and production companies in Canada. It is a little bit higher risk/reward than some of the others. This is one of the companies he would look at in this group. It will recover or could be acquired or merged with.

BBI-X is the old ticker. The merger involves a 10 for 1 split. PIPE-X shows a couple of weeks of trading and that is what to go by. They are coming on with new production facilities soon. By the end of the year, they will go to 10 times that. He thinks it is cheap…

Natural gas. Have announced some major deals with Crew Energy (CR-T) and West Energy (WTL-T) in the Montney region of British Columbia. Expects there will be production within the next year.

They're in northeast BC where Tourmaline is consolidating land and assets, near LXE. So, LXE will become topical. LXE has reached an inflection point after acquiring a lot of land and pushed the Montney play to the northeast. Now, they need a lot of capital to move to full development. They're talking to potential buyers,…

He quant model suggests this offers the best growth opportunity for a gold producer. Free cash flow grew by 100% last year and should grow by over 40% in 2021. He sees 25% upside. Yield 0.78% (Analysts’ price target is $12.22)

Forestry space He owns no names. The stocks are okay but face trade disputes and an economic slowdown that will hit housing stocks. The stocks have been beaten up.

Dundee vs Excellon? DPM-T was a previous Top Pick and he would look to add to a position. It is one of the highest free cash flow generators in the gold producing space. Production continues to grow and costs are better than their peers. He would continue to hold it. Silver does have some upside…

It is not his favourite precious metals stock because it has a pretty high cost basis. They are getting their act together from an operational basis. He was shorted but it broke out and he covered.

It is a silver AND a gold company. Earnings have tailed off because of silver. They have more than 100% more upside. They can increase production 100%. (Analysts’ price target is $4.90)

They are not getting ahead. It should be okay, but you have to manage the balance sheet and the capital structure and so far they are not doing a good job of that.

He wouldn’t take a position right now. If he held it, he would sell it right now. Technicals are downward tending. Sometimes technical stocks don’t work for all stocks. There are major red flag. (Analysts’ price target is $1.43)

(A Top Pick Apr 01/19, Down 7%) Still owns it, though he owns less than before. He owns it for income accounts. It raised its dividends and it's now at 5%. It generates good free cashflow. It looked like they were having organic growth but it fell through. They are expecting big things but management…

“Jumps and Steps” – quite common in junior companies. Each jump is a news item. As it gets closer to production, it will keep on doing this. Pullbacks are due to profit taking. Must stay above the $0.30 level, otherwise it may be bad news.

The company has suspended its dividend. They operate diamond mines in South Africa. They are looking into underground, from open pit. The cost is more expensive than thought. The price of diamonds has been reduced, though retail prices won’t change.

Too much political risk. Too much financing risk. Nice deposit.

Sees no change to the dividend theory. The 3 Irish business millionaires actually control the company and are holding it long-term for the dividends. The company has some costs going on disadvantaging it. The diamond sector itself has not produced really stellar performance. This is a “wait and see”.

A small, very speculative land holder in Canada. Higher nickel prices may push this stock higher

They have been around for over a decade. The idea was to mine on the ocean floor, where there could be silver, copper and some precious metals. Environmentally, there is a lot of resistance to this. It is low tonnage, but high grade. They eventually ran out of capital and went bankrupt.

He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…

It's a sum-of-the-parts story with three moving parts. The knock on it was they always needed to finance, but they financed. He likes their assets, including a joint venture with Barrick, which is worth PG's market cap alone. Their Ontario and Mexico assets are extraneous and will likely be sold. (Analysts’ price target is $3.93)

This is a zero, although not priced there yet. That is where it is going. It has been a lousy company for a long time. Madagascar will prove to be their undoing. They defaulted on their debt in February. Their debt is currently worth 54 cents on the dollar so the stock is worth zero.

(A Top Pick Jan 05/18, Down 86%) He sold out of this when it became apparent oil prices were not going to finish above $70 per barrel by year end. He sold out around $6.50. Demand for frac-sand is down and their is greater competition in the US. Spending plans have declined in Canada as…

(A Top Pick Mar 27/19, Down 19%) They're part of a duopoly. It enjoys highly recurring revenues. SJ shouldn't be impacted by the virus, just in their lumber segment. Strong balance sheet. More acquisitions to come for them in the pole side. The stock hasn't been this cheap in a decade. Trades at 13x earnings…

Ranks in the middle of the pack for him. Technically it hasn’t been super strong. Part of that is probably due to some concern over whether or not it will sell off because of the Canada Post strike. He wouldn’t be surprised if they had weaker earnings when they report. Overall the business continues to…

Operates in South Africa. Earnings should double this year and rise 50% in 2021. There's a merger underway. They are a disciplined buyer of companies, and this new deal should be accretive. He's bullish on gold.

(A Top Pick Apr 16/19, Up 87%) He still holds this. Likes the management team that has executed well. It should be trading higher than where it's at right now too. Management is the M&A team from Barrick.

It has a great management team and the Yukon is a friendly place to develop. Infrastructure is the issue. Smaller mining operations can deal with this, but lack of power and transportation are challenging. Where copper prices are, this is still too levered -- you need copper prices to go higher.

The Barkerville district has a lot of prospectivity. Their individual drill results are excellent but under the control of the Osisko company. He doesn't own it, because has a hard time getting the drill holes to tie together. That said, the district has a lot of promise and the exploration team is strong. The stock…

It looks interesting, but is too small for his funds. It has under-performed for the past few years. They are in the right place at the right time, but we need to see some good drill results soon.

This is a material that is basically one layer of carbon. It is very difficult to produce. It is produced a little bit in labs and sells for a very high price, but hasn’t really been mass produced as yet. It could be the material of the future. It is revolutionary. Very light and very…

(A Top Pick Sept 9/16. Down 2.7%.) Has a world-class property in Argentina and a world-class CEO who has done this before. They’ve raised money from various sophisticated institutions at about the current price. At some point, given lithium prices and electrification of cars it is going to get taken out. Highly speculative, but if…

The guys behind this have had great success in Mexico. They've had not bad results to date. Anything in the silver area is probably going to do well.

(A Top Pick March 11/11. Down 10.36%.) You have to be patient with this stock. It may take a couple of years before they are in production.

They have quality zinc deposits in Peru, but the zinc price is the issue, so is it a good time to sell it now? They will drill another 10,000 meters so find more high-grade. He escapes a scoping study by end-June. Has a flat chart though, reflecting the low zinc price. Zinc companies aren't making…

It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.

Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down 75% year-over-year. Great…

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

It's like they're building the discount brokerage arm for Royal Bank--they have a partnership with a huge Italian bank, Sanpaolo, and are thoroughly testing that system--testing is almost complete and they're awaiting government approval. Once the Italian government approves them by end-September, the new discount brokerage system could lead to a spin-out by the end…

A social media platform. A difficult one to analyse. It has a cast of big shots in management operating mainly out of California he thinks. This is into video streaming. The difficulty with this is that you need a gazillion hits, and the giants such as Google and Facebook are the ones that take the…

(A Top Pick May 20/15. Down 93.21%.) The company had some technology that allowed for compliance and payment processing technology. They started in the Bitcoin area, which didn’t work out very well. They then moved on to high risk areas, which would be considered gaming. Recently announced a strategic review of the company, so are…

He finds it interesting, but got "stop-lossed" out of it. They have a unique low powered cellular device that can be used for tracking. This is another type of device that consumers could look to buy. It could be used to track trailers, or even jack hammers. They did an equity raise a while ago…

HPB Energy Bull+ ETF. Immediate leverage to oil price moves. If you have a very good near-term bet that you want to make on oil this would be the way to go but if you are looking for an investment in the oil patch that has a long-term investment implications, then you should go to…

He always thinks leveraged ETFs are gambling. People don't understand these are only meant to be held for a couple of days. He would avoid this all together.

It was a long for him in the 2013/14 period of time. It has gotten to the point now that it has priced in a lot of the economic slowdown. It scores in the top 1% in valuation. They are somewhat diversified. 6.5 times price to earnings. They could turn into more of a yield…

(A Top Pick Oct 22/18, Down 35%) He sold this at $3. They offered to buy 15 million shares of stock and the took the offer. He is glad to be out. Sales are falling and they have closed 48 stores. He wonders if management should be changed. Their online sales have been going up,…

(A Top Pick May 06/19, Down 59%) They stumbled with a new distribution system in North America and their supply lines from China were totally disrupted. The balance sheet remains strong, so they will survive, but how long will it take for them to recover? When will stores reopen? He's holding on.

This has been a very difficult stock. Recently reported a very bad quarter. He would stay away from this one. Inventory has gone up a lot and their margins have fallen. Cut the dividend totally. Thinks they are in a bit of trouble.

Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.

(A Top Pick Mar 01/18, Down 22%) This was disappointing. They were trying to grow at the expense of the bottomline. Their growth plans did not come to fruition. The CFO left. He does not see a lot of reason to be involved in this name at this point.

It'll be flat this year. It's very illiquid, so likely way cheaper than it ought to be. Good balance sheet. Cheap at 8x earnings. The payout ratio is safe. You can buy and win with this.

It's failed to execute, though it has stopped falling. Hasn't created a meaningful rally.

(A Top Pick Nov 6/14. Down 75%.) One of their key assets is an oil/gas services business, so it has come under a lot of pressure. This is a high risk/high reward situation. Still very much a binary outcome. It is either going to come under a lot of pressure with bankruptcy risks, or the…

It is a difficult stock to own in this environment. The pandemic has shut them. He believes the distribution has been suspended. They have impaired cash flow and higher level.

Good company. In some interesting spaces in terms of hormonal stuff. They are on the search for a Viagra for women. The numbers into 2016 are looking pretty good. He wants to see one or 2 more quarters, but if they keep doing things the way they are, it is a name he would be…