This week’s new 52-week lows… (Nov 28-Dec 04)

Excellent opportunity for rising gas prices. Believes demand for transition fuel will continue to rise. A.I. demands for power generation will increase natural gas demand. A.I. data centers requiring more power than can be provided. Excellent dividend yield with new projects on the West Cost. Good for long term investors. 

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 63c beat estimates of 53c. Revenue of $1.42B beat estimates of $1.38B. EBITDA of $881M beat estimates by 13%. Profit fell 27% despite higher production, due to lower prices. Production rose 4.7% year-over-year. Production matched estimates. EPS does call for lower income in…

Looking for an oil & gas producer, with long-term dividend growth. The price of oil always gets pulled around. He likes the natural gas side a bit more -- it's been through a bear market for years and now coming out of that. Over time, increased ability to get nat gas offshore and the world…

Shale gas in the US. A spin out from Bankers Petroleum (BNK-T). There is a lot of potential excitement but it just doesn't have the same management quality team. Just too risky in the market at this point.

Their debt has always been an issue. Trading at in-line levels for their multiple. Does not check his boxes in his fund.

Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult…

Oilfield services firm that has big fracturing technology presence. Horizontal drilling and shale boom not as strong. Very dependent on energy prices. Lots of assets that must be carried on the books. Not investing at this time. 

It flat-lined with the sector but is in good shape coming into 2025 with lots of momentum on high margins, etc. It one of the best oil and gas companies. There is lots of optionality for natural gas.

Great company. Looking at the chart, big wall of resistance it just couldn't get through. Then it broke out. If you own it, hold. If it pulls back to the neckline, he'd be all over it.

Some people own it for M&A takeover potential. He doesn't like to do that. It's a market where interest in small caps remains very low. Not hitting enough radar screens currently. Pursuing growth, so more modest cashflow. 

Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name. You'll be saved…

He stayed away because they went to the states to make acquisitions. He did not know why the Americans would not already take these assets. He stays away from it.

One of the largest fleets of generation 3 and 4 deeper coil tubing. Two businesses: coil tubing and tools. Both are being run efficiently. Margin pressure in the sector. Great little story that will be a big beneficiary of LNG drilling. No debt. 5-year bull market target of $3. 2023 will be a pivotal year…

They just bought a US company. More than 60% of cash flow comes from the US, so they are better insulated from tariffs than peers. Pay over an 8% dividend. Will convert USD revenues into CAD, which is good. Oil prices should be stable. (Analysts’ price target is $17.10)

A mico-cap that had some major issues. He would not look at this at all.

Bottoming phase in early ’09 then a rally. Profit taking at end of summer. $0.40 is support level; If it breaks through $0.67 level he would see a dollar.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. KEL has strong drilling activity and currently no debt. We have KEL in the growth model portfolio, and we like it for its diversification benefits, being in the oil and gas sector. It is a strong name with a good balance sheet and healthy profit…

Grown by acquisition quite steadily over the years. Very good company and it won't hurt you, but he owns TFII instead.

She sold this a year ago. She expected after their spin-off to improve margins and product line, but the dental industry is cyclical and tied to the job market. As interest rates rose, many patients deferred treatment. Also, it's in a competitive market and growth was soft in some geographies. Wait and see how the…

Not a good investment with current management team. Other energy companies available with better opportunities.

Sold assets, which crystallized massive value. This is their forte. Some of that windfall will make its way back to shareholders. You have to believe in their vision. He sold too early.

Excellent company. Trades at 18x cashflow. FRU is cheaper at about 9x.

(A Top Pick Oct 03/24, Down 29%) He sold at higher levels than current. There's no investment money flowing into the oil patch, because international investors perceive the federal government as hostile to energy. No buyers. Surge is well run, drills great wells, pays a good dividend and buys back stock.

(A Top Pick Feb 09/21, Up 9%) Continues to hold.

Loves these energy names at this point in the cycle. Yield of 7-8%.

BBI-X is the old ticker. The merger involves a 10 for 1 split. PIPE-X shows a couple of weeks of trading and that is what to go by. They are coming on with new production facilities soon. By the end of the year, they will go to 10 times that. He thinks it is cheap…

BF-N vs. CE-X. BASF is the world's largest chemical company. It sells at a high premium. There is concern that prices are too high to last.

They're in northeast BC where Tourmaline is consolidating land and assets, near LXE. So, LXE will become topical. LXE has reached an inflection point after acquiring a lot of land and pushed the Montney play to the northeast. Now, they need a lot of capital to move to full development. They're talking to potential buyers,…

This name is further down the food chain. Take a look at the more interesting mid-size players. Still, he's been lightening up on gold. With a strong USD, and interest rates possibly being higher, gold may take a few steps back. So he's waiting to see how things shake out.

Forestry space He owns no names. The stocks are okay but face trade disputes and an economic slowdown that will hit housing stocks. The stocks have been beaten up.

It's the US's largest transmission distribution utility, focused on the mid-Atlantic. It reported a solid beat on Wednesday with bullish full-year guidance. Pays a 4.2% dividend.

Laggard. Attractive entry point. Silver as a commodity is seeing higher highs and higher lows. Really likes the potential of silver longer term, especially for a Santa Claus rally.

Buy this dip? They went to raise money, but too much, which in turn pressured the stock price. But don't worry about the low price. He's bullish gold and silver. Be patient and let this wash through. The underwriters were stupid.

They are not getting ahead. It should be okay, but you have to manage the balance sheet and the capital structure and so far they are not doing a good job of that.

He wouldn’t take a position right now. If he held it, he would sell it right now. Technicals are downward tending. Sometimes technical stocks don’t work for all stocks. There are major red flag. (Analysts’ price target is $1.43)

(A Top Pick Jul 27/21, Up 53%) Taken over at a nice premium.

“Jumps and Steps” – quite common in junior companies. Each jump is a news item. As it gets closer to production, it will keep on doing this. Pullbacks are due to profit taking. Must stay above the $0.30 level, otherwise it may be bad news.

The company has suspended its dividend. They operate diamond mines in South Africa. They are looking into underground, from open pit. The cost is more expensive than thought. The price of diamonds has been reduced, though retail prices won’t change.

Too much political risk. Too much financing risk. Nice deposit.

Sees no change to the dividend theory. The 3 Irish business millionaires actually control the company and are holding it long-term for the dividends. The company has some costs going on disadvantaging it. The diamond sector itself has not produced really stellar performance. This is a “wait and see”.

A small, very speculative land holder in Canada. Higher nickel prices may push this stock higher

They have been around for over a decade. The idea was to mine on the ocean floor, where there could be silver, copper and some precious metals. Environmentally, there is a lot of resistance to this. It is low tonnage, but high grade. They eventually ran out of capital and went bankrupt.

He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…

Hold until sale to Equinox, or buy more? He holds both to benefit from long-term effects of inflation. He thinks the takeout is great. EQX is well run, a buy, with a $12 price target.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not…

(A Top Pick Oct 24/24, Up 9.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SHLE has triggered its stop at $13.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 14%.  

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research SJ saw its price decline recently on weak earnings, and it has also been seeing some weakness alongside the broader markets. It trades at a decent valuation of 12.9X forward earnings, but forward growth estimates are in the low single digits, and analyst estimates have…

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 9c missed estimates of 17.5c; revenue of $72M missed estimates by 2%. EBITDA missed by 11%. SXP is down significantly over the last twelve months by ~42% and recent earnings pointed towards declining profits and revenues. Revenue fell $6M. Earnings and EBITDA margins…

Operates in South Africa. Earnings should double this year and rise 50% in 2021. There's a merger underway. They are a disciplined buyer of companies, and this new deal should be accretive. He's bullish on gold.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research USA hit a 52-week high today. It is moving with the sector but also good growth and lower losses are expected. The recent consolidation of assets and financing have brought further interest to the company. We would be OK letting momentum ride here for a…

It has a great management team and the Yukon is a friendly place to develop. Infrastructure is the issue. Smaller mining operations can deal with this, but lack of power and transportation are challenging. Where copper prices are, this is still too levered -- you need copper prices to go higher.

The Barkerville district has a lot of prospectivity. Their individual drill results are excellent but under the control of the Osisko company. He doesn't own it, because has a hard time getting the drill holes to tie together. That said, the district has a lot of promise and the exploration team is strong. The stock…

It looks interesting, but is too small for his funds. It has under-performed for the past few years. They are in the right place at the right time, but we need to see some good drill results soon.

This is a material that is basically one layer of carbon. It is very difficult to produce. It is produced a little bit in labs and sells for a very high price, but hasn’t really been mass produced as yet. It could be the material of the future. It is revolutionary. Very light and very…

Would recommend buying on weakness. EV business will be strong. Expect volatility. Strong for the long term investor. Owns shares. Valuation and story is compelling.  

The guys behind this have had great success in Mexico. They've had not bad results to date. Anything in the silver area is probably going to do well.

(A Top Pick March 11/11. Down 10.36%.) You have to be patient with this stock. It may take a couple of years before they are in production.

They have quality zinc deposits in Peru, but the zinc price is the issue, so is it a good time to sell it now? They will drill another 10,000 meters so find more high-grade. He escapes a scoping study by end-June. Has a flat chart though, reflecting the low zinc price. Zinc companies aren't making…

It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.

Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down 75% year-over-year. Great…

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

It develops AI for disruptive financial analytics. He doesn't cover it - there are better investments out there such as Google and Adobe.

A social media platform. A difficult one to analyse. It has a cast of big shots in management operating mainly out of California he thinks. This is into video streaming. The difficulty with this is that you need a gazillion hits, and the giants such as Google and Facebook are the ones that take the…

(A Top Pick May 20/15. Down 93.21%.) The company had some technology that allowed for compliance and payment processing technology. They started in the Bitcoin area, which didn’t work out very well. They then moved on to high risk areas, which would be considered gaming. Recently announced a strategic review of the company, so are…

Asset trackers. New iteration uses cell, not Wi-Fi. Helps cell phone companies boost revenue, as price of phone plans decreases. Before stepping in again, he's looking for a big ramp up in the trajectory of revenue and earnings.

HPB Energy Bull+ ETF. Immediate leverage to oil price moves. If you have a very good near-term bet that you want to make on oil this would be the way to go but if you are looking for an investment in the oil patch that has a long-term investment implications, then you should go to…

Will both spike when the pandemic is over? Will both spike when the pandemic is over? HOU-T is the upward moving ETF. It is also a two times ETF. The HOU-T is certainly the side to be on today. If the virus news is true then there will be a lot of pent up demand…

Prefers Linamar to Magna for its much lower EV of 6x, and they have diverse businesses, like agricultural equipment.

Owned it a few years. He sees big upside. They have $120 million in cash and zero debt, trading at negative enterprise value. They already own their own warehouse and office building. It's a profitable business based on a value brand. They are doing well, selling quality clothes. The issue is how a board is…

A definite series of lower highs and lower lows. Continues to languish, downtrend remains in place. Value trap. Unless something changes, just avoid. So many other good places to put your $$ to work.

This has been a very difficult stock. Recently reported a very bad quarter. He would stay away from this one. Inventory has gone up a lot and their margins have fallen. Cut the dividend totally. Thinks they are in a bit of trouble.

Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.

(A Top Pick Mar 01/18, Down 22%) This was disappointing. They were trying to grow at the expense of the bottomline. Their growth plans did not come to fruition. The CFO left. He does not see a lot of reason to be involved in this name at this point.

Recently added a small, 2%, position. Likes the dividend yield. Believes the industrial economy will pick up, though Canada may be slower than the US. Exposed to the Canadian industrial economy right across the country. Yield is 6.7%.His strategy is to ride the stock up. As it does, the yield drops. So if the yield…

Printing is in decline. Trying to get into packaging. Stock's always been cheap, but it's not a growth market. Instead, look at DCM.

(A Top Pick Nov 6/14. Down 75%.) One of their key assets is an oil/gas services business, so it has come under a lot of pressure. This is a high risk/high reward situation. Still very much a binary outcome. It is either going to come under a lot of pressure with bankruptcy risks, or the…

They own U.S. hotels, a high-risk, high-reward stock. He's bearish on hotels, which is struggling with labour costs and keeping labour. HOT.UN has done a good job restoring vacancies, in the low-70s, though their peak was in the 80s. However, they've made up the balance on their hotel rates. Their balance sheet is slightly higher,…

Good company. In some interesting spaces in terms of hormonal stuff. They are on the search for a Viagra for women. The numbers into 2016 are looking pretty good. He wants to see one or 2 more quarters, but if they keep doing things the way they are, it is a name he would be…