This week’s new 52-week lows… (Nov 28-Dec 04)

Opinion about ALA-T: Name to look at in the same space as FTS, but at a much better valuation.

Opinion about ARX-T: Is a long-term hold. It's focused on gas and natural gas, which boasts great fundamentals. Arc is the top nat gas developer in Canada and owns a lot of its infrastructure, so are vertically integrated. The 2.93% dividend and cash flow are growing. Buy below $25, if you can. (Analysts’ price target…

Opinion about AAV-T: One of the worst energy names. The CEO and board did one of the word acquisitions in history. When the market wanted natural gas, they added liquids exposure. Are the worst-performing nat gas stock in North America. No upside. An activist has put members on the board.

Opinion about BKX-T: Shale gas in the US. A spin out from Bankers Petroleum (BNK-T). There is a lot of potential excitement but it just doesn't have the same management quality team. Just too risky in the market at this point.

Opinion about BNE-T: Their debt has always been an issue. Trading at in-line levels for their multiple. Does not check his boxes in his fund.

Opinion about BXE-T: Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies…

Opinion about CFW-T: Oilfield services firm that has big fracturing technology presence. Horizontal drilling and shale boom not as strong. Very dependent on energy prices. Lots of assets that must be carried on the books. Not investing at this time. 

Opinion about CNQ-T: Is one of the best-managed companies in Canada. All oil stocks have pulled back, so this is an opportunity. Lots of growth potential through the Oil Sands. Pays a 5.76% dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $50.74)

Opinion about CPG-T: Great company. Looking at the chart, big wall of resistance it just couldn't get through. Then it broke out. If you own it, hold. If it pulls back to the neckline, he'd be all over it.

Opinion about CR-T: Some people own it for M&A takeover potential. He doesn't like to do that. It's a market where interest in small caps remains very low. Not hitting enough radar screens currently. Pursuing growth, so more modest cashflow. 

Opinion about ECA-T: Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name.…

Opinion about EGL-T: He stayed away because they went to the states to make acquisitions. He did not know why the Americans would not already take these assets. He stays away from it.

Opinion about ESN-T: One of the largest fleets of generation 3 and 4 deeper coil tubing. Two businesses: coil tubing and tools. Both are being run efficiently. Margin pressure in the sector. Great little story that will be a big beneficiary of LNG drilling. No debt. 5-year bull market target of $3. 2023 will be…

Opinion about FRU-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research Manulife was a large seller last year, but this year we do not see significant transactions. The sector has bounced around this year, and FRU is down 13% YTD. The last quarter was fine, but estimates have been ticking down over the…

Opinion about GXO-T: A mico-cap that had some major issues. He would not look at this at all.

Opinion about HYD-T: Bottoming phase in early ’09 then a rally. Profit taking at end of summer. $0.40 is support level; If it breaks through $0.67 level he would see a dollar.

Opinion about KEL-T: Has deep assets, which they won't sell for 9-12 months, as they add others. He can't own every midcap, though this is good.

Opinion about MTL-T: Grown by acquisition quite steadily over the years. Very good company and it won't hurt you, but he owns TFII instead.

Opinion about NVA-T: Offers near-term leverage to a bullish outlook for natural gas, plus long-term exposure to a very bullish outlook on oil. 60% gas, 40% condensates. Very deep resource base. Growing production over next 5 years by ~50%. Also buying back 30-50% of shares at $60-70 oil.Once production targets are met, its plants will…

Opinion about OBE-T: Not a good investment with current management team. Other energy companies available with better opportunities.

Opinion about POU-T: Sold assets, which crystallized massive value. This is their forte. Some of that windfall will make its way back to shareholders. You have to believe in their vision. He sold too early.

Opinion about PSK-T: Excellent company. Trades at 18x cashflow. FRU is cheaper at about 9x.

Opinion about SGY-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research SGY is quite small at $510M, but the stock is very cheap. With a 10% dividend, a buyer (or privatization) could eliminate the dividend and use internal cash flow to pay for the whole company in about three years. But, that doesn't…

Opinion about VII-T: (A Top Pick Feb 09/21, Up 9%) Continues to hold.

Opinion about WCP-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research Production of 179,051 b/d rose 5.5% and beat estimates  of 174,000. Crude production rose 5.6%; NG liquids production rose 14%; gas production rose 2.7%. EPS of 27c did miss estimates of 39c; Revenue of $942M beat estimates of $876M. Guidance will be…

Opinion about BBI-X: BBI-X is the old ticker. The merger involves a 10 for 1 split. PIPE-X shows a couple of weeks of trading and that is what to go by. They are coming on with new production facilities soon. By the end of the year, they will go to 10 times that. He thinks…

Opinion about CE-X: BF-N vs. CE-X. BASF is the world's largest chemical company. It sells at a high premium. There is concern that prices are too high to last.

Opinion about LXE-X: They're in northeast BC where Tourmaline is consolidating land and assets, near LXE. So, LXE will become topical. LXE has reached an inflection point after acquiring a lot of land and pushed the Montney play to the northeast. Now, they need a lot of capital to move to full development. They're talking…

Opinion about AGI-T: Likes this name in its space. His guess is that in the next month or so, Trump's going to roll back a lot of stuff and the economy will be better. So areas like gold are going to sell off.

Opinion about CFF-T: Forestry space He owns no names. The stocks are okay but face trade disputes and an economic slowdown that will hit housing stocks. The stocks have been beaten up.

Opinion about EXN-T: It's the US's largest transmission distribution utility, focused on the mid-Atlantic. It reported a solid beat on Wednesday with bullish full-year guidance. Pays a 4.2% dividend.

Opinion about FR-T: Laggard. Attractive entry point. Silver as a commodity is seeing higher highs and higher lows. Really likes the potential of silver longer term, especially for a Santa Claus rally.

Opinion about FVI-T: Oversold. Expanding an operation, and it's having teething problems. Appears that West African operations are firing on all cylinders, but concern with global investors about political instability. 

Opinion about GSV-T: They are not getting ahead. It should be okay, but you have to manage the balance sheet and the capital structure and so far they are not doing a good job of that.

Opinion about GUY-T: He wouldn’t take a position right now. If he held it, he would sell it right now. Technicals are downward tending. Sometimes technical stocks don’t work for all stocks. There are major red flag. (Analysts’ price target is $1.43)

Opinion about ITP-T: (A Top Pick Jul 27/21, Up 53%) Taken over at a nice premium.

Opinion about KER-T: “Jumps and Steps” – quite common in junior companies. Each jump is a news item. As it gets closer to production, it will keep on doing this. Pullbacks are due to profit taking. Must stay above the $0.30 level, otherwise it may be bad news.

Opinion about LUC-T: The company has suspended its dividend. They operate diamond mines in South Africa. They are looking into underground, from open pit. The cost is more expensive than thought. The price of diamonds has been reduced, though retail prices won’t change.

Opinion about LYD-T: Too much political risk. Too much financing risk. Nice deposit.

Opinion about MPVD-T: Sees no change to the dividend theory. The 3 Irish business millionaires actually control the company and are holding it long-term for the dividends. The company has some costs going on disadvantaging it. The diamond sector itself has not produced really stellar performance. This is a “wait and see”.

Opinion about NCP-T: A small, very speculative land holder in Canada. Higher nickel prices may push this stock higher

Opinion about NUS-T: They have been around for over a decade. The idea was to mine on the ocean floor, where there could be silver, copper and some precious metals. Environmentally, there is a lot of resistance to this. It is low tonnage, but high grade. They eventually ran out of capital and went bankrupt.

Opinion about ORV-T: He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go.…

Opinion about PG-T: Hold until sale to Equinox, or buy more? He holds both to benefit from long-term effects of inflation. He thinks the takeout is great. EQX is well run, a buy, with a $12 price target.

Opinion about S-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues,…

Opinion about SHLE-T: One of his favourites. Has come off with rest of energy services names. Came off on tariff concerns, has applied for an exemption. Extremely cheap at 2x EBITDA. Strategic and highly profitable asset, could be takeover target.

Opinion about SJ-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 93c beat estimates of 71c; revenue of $730M beat estimates of $693M. EBITDA of $115M beat estimates by 6%. Sales rose 6.1% but EBITDA fell 4.2%. Railway ties showed strength, up 17%. Guidance was affirmed. Commentary was much more positive…

Opinion about SXP-T: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 9c missed estimates of 17.5c; revenue of $72M missed estimates by 2%. EBITDA missed by 11%. SXP is down significantly over the last twelve months by ~42% and recent earnings pointed towards declining profits and revenues. Revenue fell $6M. Earnings…

Opinion about SMF-T: Operates in South Africa. Earnings should double this year and rise 50% in 2021. There's a merger underway. They are a disciplined buyer of companies, and this new deal should be accretive. He's bullish on gold.

Opinion about USA-T: Junior speculative. Not profitable. At the price for gold and silver today, if a company's not profitable you have to ask why. He doesn't play penny stocks, and certainly not in the junior mining area. A very challenging asset class; he learned his lesson 35 years ago.

Opinion about WRN-T: It has a great management team and the Yukon is a friendly place to develop. Infrastructure is the issue. Smaller mining operations can deal with this, but lack of power and transportation are challenging. Where copper prices are, this is still too levered -- you need copper prices to go higher.

Opinion about BGM-X: The Barkerville district has a lot of prospectivity. Their individual drill results are excellent but under the control of the Osisko company. He doesn't own it, because has a hard time getting the drill holes to tie together. That said, the district has a lot of promise and the exploration team is…

Opinion about BTR-X: It looks interesting, but is too small for his funds. It has under-performed for the past few years. They are in the right place at the right time, but we need to see some good drill results soon.

Opinion about GGG-X: This is a material that is basically one layer of carbon. It is very difficult to produce. It is produced a little bit in labs and sells for a very high price, but hasn’t really been mass produced as yet. It could be the material of the future. It is revolutionary. Very…

Opinion about NLC-X: Would recommend buying on weakness. EV business will be strong. Expect volatility. Strong for the long term investor. Owns shares. Valuation and story is compelling.  

Opinion about SSV-X: The guys behind this have had great success in Mexico. They've had not bad results to date. Anything in the silver area is probably going to do well.

Opinion about TIC-X: (A Top Pick March 11/11. Down 10.36%.) You have to be patient with this stock. It may take a couple of years before they are in production.

Opinion about TK-X: They have quality zinc deposits in Peru, but the zinc price is the issue, so is it a good time to sell it now? They will drill another 10,000 meters so find more high-grade. He escapes a scoping study by end-June. Has a flat chart though, reflecting the low zinc price. Zinc…

Opinion about UCU-X: It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.

Opinion about GPS-T: Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down…

Opinion about XAU-T: (A Top Pick May 29/09. Up 6.6%.) Very intelligently run company. The game plan is to generate ideas/geologic targets and bring a major company in to do the hard, expensive work. Made a discovery of a very nice deposit in Long Canyon Nevada and hold 49% with Frontier being a joint partner.

Opinion about ALY-X: It develops AI for disruptive financial analytics. He doesn't cover it - there are better investments out there such as Google and Adobe.

Opinion about PEEK-X: A social media platform. A difficult one to analyse. It has a cast of big shots in management operating mainly out of California he thinks. This is into video streaming. The difficulty with this is that you need a gazillion hits, and the giants such as Google and Facebook are the ones…

Opinion about VGO-CN: (A Top Pick May 20/15. Down 93.21%.) The company had some technology that allowed for compliance and payment processing technology. They started in the Bitcoin area, which didn’t work out very well. They then moved on to high risk areas, which would be considered gaming. Recently announced a strategic review of the…

Opinion about BEW-X: Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research The stock is now flat for the week; the white paper outlines the opportunity in low power IOT technology, but this is not really new news. Following the stock's big rally in the past year, we would consider it a HOLD. With…

Opinion about HEU-T: HPB Energy Bull+ ETF. Immediate leverage to oil price moves. If you have a very good near-term bet that you want to make on oil this would be the way to go but if you are looking for an investment in the oil patch that has a long-term investment implications, then you…

Opinion about HOU-T: Will both spike when the pandemic is over? Will both spike when the pandemic is over? HOU-T is the upward moving ETF. It is also a two times ETF. The HOU-T is certainly the side to be on today. If the virus news is true then there will be a lot of…

Opinion about LNR-T: Classic value stock. Buying back stock. $10 EPS, so it's selling at 4.5x earnings. Everything they make is under USMCA. No one can make what they do. High-end, specialized agricultural products. Agriculture and autos are both down; autos are about to turn up, and agricultural should too. Yield is 2.09%. (Analysts’ price…

Opinion about RET.A-T: Owned it a few years. He sees big upside. They have $120 million in cash and zero debt, trading at negative enterprise value. They already own their own warehouse and office building. It's a profitable business based on a value brand. They are doing well, selling quality clothes. The issue is how…

Opinion about TOY-T: A definite series of lower highs and lower lows. Continues to languish, downtrend remains in place. Value trap. Unless something changes, just avoid. So many other good places to put your $$ to work.

Opinion about CTU-X: This has been a very difficult stock. Recently reported a very bad quarter. He would stay away from this one. Inventory has gone up a lot and their margins have fallen. Cut the dividend totally. Thinks they are in a bit of trouble.

Opinion about JTR-X: Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.

Opinion about RME-T: (A Top Pick Mar 01/18, Down 22%) This was disappointing. They were trying to grow at the expense of the bottomline. Their growth plans did not come to fruition. The CFO left. He does not see a lot of reason to be involved in this name at this point.

Opinion about WJX-T: Medium-quality, in the competitive industrial space. Not a long-term compounder. Exposed to all kinds of risks including tariffs. Capital intensive; real FCF not as high as it appears. 

Opinion about TCL.A-T: Printing is in decline. Trying to get into packaging. Stock's always been cheap, but it's not a growth market. Instead, look at DCM.

Opinion about CSM-T: (A Top Pick Nov 6/14. Down 75%.) One of their key assets is an oil/gas services business, so it has come under a lot of pressure. This is a high risk/high reward situation. Still very much a binary outcome. It is either going to come under a lot of pressure with bankruptcy…

Opinion about HOT.UN-T: They own U.S. hotels, a high-risk, high-reward stock. He's bearish on hotels, which is struggling with labour costs and keeping labour. HOT.UN has done a good job restoring vacancies, in the low-70s, though their peak was in the 80s. However, they've made up the balance on their hotel rates. Their balance sheet…

Opinion about ASP-T: Good company. In some interesting spaces in terms of hormonal stuff. They are on the search for a Viagra for women. The numbers into 2016 are looking pretty good. He wants to see one or 2 more quarters, but if they keep doing things the way they are, it is a name…