This week’s new 52-week lows… (Nov 28-Dec 04)

Problem with the chart is that it's arcing up, making a sharp angle up. Sharp angles up almost always correct, by a little bit or a lot. The trend's been in place long enough that it will probably correct just to the trendline, around $35 or so. As long as it didn't crack $35, he'd…

Add on weakness? He likes the idea of adding on weakness, that's what he's been doing. He uses a lot of optionality in his portfolios. So he's writing puts in the energy sector to acquire companies; if they don't go to those prices, he just earns the income. He's perfectly happy with a strategy like…

One of the worst energy names. The CEO and board did one of the word acquisitions in history. When the market wanted natural gas, they added liquids exposure. Are the worst-performing nat gas stock in North America. No upside. An activist has put members on the board.

Shale gas in the US. A spin out from Bankers Petroleum (BNK-T). There is a lot of potential excitement but it just doesn't have the same management quality team. Just too risky in the market at this point.

Their debt has always been an issue. Trading at in-line levels for their multiple. Does not check his boxes in his fund.

Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult…

Oilfield services firm that has big fracturing technology presence. Horizontal drilling and shale boom not as strong. Very dependent on energy prices. Lots of assets that must be carried on the books. Not investing at this time. 

Loves it as one of the biggest oil & gas producers. Strong mix of crude, nat gas, and synthetic oil. Production set to grow 12% in 2025. Counting on new Trans Mountain to boost profit. 9/10 on value, 8/10 on fundamentals. US tariffs are a risk, along with unpredictable oil prices.Paying down debt, strong balance…

Great company. Looking at the chart, big wall of resistance it just couldn't get through. Then it broke out. If you own it, hold. If it pulls back to the neckline, he'd be all over it.

Some people own it for M&A takeover potential. He doesn't like to do that. It's a market where interest in small caps remains very low. Not hitting enough radar screens currently. Pursuing growth, so more modest cashflow. 

Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name. You'll be saved…

He stayed away because they went to the states to make acquisitions. He did not know why the Americans would not already take these assets. He stays away from it.

One of the largest fleets of generation 3 and 4 deeper coil tubing. Two businesses: coil tubing and tools. Both are being run efficiently. Margin pressure in the sector. Great little story that will be a big beneficiary of LNG drilling. No debt. 5-year bull market target of $3. 2023 will be a pivotal year…

Small position for her, actively traded. Energy royalties are still a steady play. A mid-tier champ. Zero operational risk. Dividend hike, so she doesn't see it being cut. Yield is ~8.5%. Oil above $70 keeps royalty cash flowing. Drop in crude price or a global demand wobble would impact it. Value of 10/10, fundamentals 10/10. …

A mico-cap that had some major issues. He would not look at this at all.

Bottoming phase in early ’09 then a rally. Profit taking at end of summer. $0.40 is support level; If it breaks through $0.67 level he would see a dollar.

Has deep assets, which they won't sell for 9-12 months, as they add others. He can't own every midcap, though this is good.

Grown by acquisition quite steadily over the years. Very good company and it won't hurt you, but he owns TFII instead.

In his aggressive fund. Choppy pattern, which he likes for swing trading. Support ~$10, resistance ~$14-15. Could drop a bit more from here. 

Not a good investment with current management team. Other energy companies available with better opportunities.

Sold assets, which crystallized massive value. This is their forte. Some of that windfall will make its way back to shareholders. You have to believe in their vision. He sold too early.

Excellent company. Trades at 18x cashflow. FRU is cheaper at about 9x.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research SGY is quite small at $510M, but the stock is very cheap. With a 10% dividend, a buyer (or privatization) could eliminate the dividend and use internal cash flow to pay for the whole company in about three years. But, that doesn't mean it will…

(A Top Pick Feb 09/21, Up 9%) Continues to hold.

Top mid-cap name, high dividend yield, aggressive product growth. Ramping up production, which will offer strong FCF. But capital spending is rising as a result. Scores 10/10 on value, 8/10 on fundamentals. Analysts seeing potential upside of 47%. Healthy dividend of ~8%.

BBI-X is the old ticker. The merger involves a 10 for 1 split. PIPE-X shows a couple of weeks of trading and that is what to go by. They are coming on with new production facilities soon. By the end of the year, they will go to 10 times that. He thinks it is cheap…

BF-N vs. CE-X. BASF is the world's largest chemical company. It sells at a high premium. There is concern that prices are too high to last.

They're in northeast BC where Tourmaline is consolidating land and assets, near LXE. So, LXE will become topical. LXE has reached an inflection point after acquiring a lot of land and pushed the Montney play to the northeast. Now, they need a lot of capital to move to full development. They're talking to potential buyers,…

(A Top Pick Jul 09/24, Up 51%) He's bullish on gold. Excellent management. Among the very best reserves, and keeps finding more quality ones.

Forestry space He owns no names. The stocks are okay but face trade disputes and an economic slowdown that will hit housing stocks. The stocks have been beaten up.

It's the US's largest transmission distribution utility, focused on the mid-Atlantic. It reported a solid beat on Wednesday with bullish full-year guidance. Pays a 4.2% dividend.

Laggard. Attractive entry point. Silver as a commodity is seeing higher highs and higher lows. Really likes the potential of silver longer term, especially for a Santa Claus rally.

Oversold. Expanding an operation, and it's having teething problems. Appears that West African operations are firing on all cylinders, but concern with global investors about political instability. 

They are not getting ahead. It should be okay, but you have to manage the balance sheet and the capital structure and so far they are not doing a good job of that.

He wouldn’t take a position right now. If he held it, he would sell it right now. Technicals are downward tending. Sometimes technical stocks don’t work for all stocks. There are major red flag. (Analysts’ price target is $1.43)

(A Top Pick Jul 27/21, Up 53%) Taken over at a nice premium.

“Jumps and Steps” – quite common in junior companies. Each jump is a news item. As it gets closer to production, it will keep on doing this. Pullbacks are due to profit taking. Must stay above the $0.30 level, otherwise it may be bad news.

The company has suspended its dividend. They operate diamond mines in South Africa. They are looking into underground, from open pit. The cost is more expensive than thought. The price of diamonds has been reduced, though retail prices won’t change.

Too much political risk. Too much financing risk. Nice deposit.

Sees no change to the dividend theory. The 3 Irish business millionaires actually control the company and are holding it long-term for the dividends. The company has some costs going on disadvantaging it. The diamond sector itself has not produced really stellar performance. This is a “wait and see”.

A small, very speculative land holder in Canada. Higher nickel prices may push this stock higher

They have been around for over a decade. The idea was to mine on the ocean floor, where there could be silver, copper and some precious metals. Environmentally, there is a lot of resistance to this. It is low tonnage, but high grade. They eventually ran out of capital and went bankrupt.

He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…

Hold until sale to Equinox, or buy more? He holds both to benefit from long-term effects of inflation. He thinks the takeout is great. EQX is well run, a buy, with a $12 price target.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not…

(A Top Pick Oct 24/24, Up 9.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SHLE has triggered its stop at $13.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 14%.  

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 93c beat estimates of 71c; revenue of $730M beat estimates of $693M. EBITDA of $115M beat estimates by 6%. Sales rose 6.1% but EBITDA fell 4.2%. Railway ties showed strength, up 17%. Guidance was affirmed. Commentary was much more positive than we would…

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research EPS of 9c missed estimates of 17.5c; revenue of $72M missed estimates by 2%. EBITDA missed by 11%. SXP is down significantly over the last twelve months by ~42% and recent earnings pointed towards declining profits and revenues. Revenue fell $6M. Earnings and EBITDA margins…

Operates in South Africa. Earnings should double this year and rise 50% in 2021. There's a merger underway. They are a disciplined buyer of companies, and this new deal should be accretive. He's bullish on gold.

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research USA hit a 52-week high today. It is moving with the sector but also good growth and lower losses are expected. The recent consolidation of assets and financing have brought further interest to the company. We would be OK letting momentum ride here for a…

It has a great management team and the Yukon is a friendly place to develop. Infrastructure is the issue. Smaller mining operations can deal with this, but lack of power and transportation are challenging. Where copper prices are, this is still too levered -- you need copper prices to go higher.

The Barkerville district has a lot of prospectivity. Their individual drill results are excellent but under the control of the Osisko company. He doesn't own it, because has a hard time getting the drill holes to tie together. That said, the district has a lot of promise and the exploration team is strong. The stock…

It looks interesting, but is too small for his funds. It has under-performed for the past few years. They are in the right place at the right time, but we need to see some good drill results soon.

This is a material that is basically one layer of carbon. It is very difficult to produce. It is produced a little bit in labs and sells for a very high price, but hasn’t really been mass produced as yet. It could be the material of the future. It is revolutionary. Very light and very…

Would recommend buying on weakness. EV business will be strong. Expect volatility. Strong for the long term investor. Owns shares. Valuation and story is compelling.  

The guys behind this have had great success in Mexico. They've had not bad results to date. Anything in the silver area is probably going to do well.

(A Top Pick March 11/11. Down 10.36%.) You have to be patient with this stock. It may take a couple of years before they are in production.

They have quality zinc deposits in Peru, but the zinc price is the issue, so is it a good time to sell it now? They will drill another 10,000 meters so find more high-grade. He escapes a scoping study by end-June. Has a flat chart though, reflecting the low zinc price. Zinc companies aren't making…

It’s a tough deposit. Erratic mineralization with the Uranium. He doesn’t think a lot of the deposit. Prefers others.

Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down 75% year-over-year. Great…

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

It develops AI for disruptive financial analytics. He doesn't cover it - there are better investments out there such as Google and Adobe.

A social media platform. A difficult one to analyse. It has a cast of big shots in management operating mainly out of California he thinks. This is into video streaming. The difficulty with this is that you need a gazillion hits, and the giants such as Google and Facebook are the ones that take the…

(A Top Pick May 20/15. Down 93.21%.) The company had some technology that allowed for compliance and payment processing technology. They started in the Bitcoin area, which didn’t work out very well. They then moved on to high risk areas, which would be considered gaming. Recently announced a strategic review of the company, so are…

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research The stock is now flat for the week; the white paper outlines the opportunity in low power IOT technology, but this is not really new news. Following the stock's big rally in the past year, we would consider it a HOLD. With its small size…

HPB Energy Bull+ ETF. Immediate leverage to oil price moves. If you have a very good near-term bet that you want to make on oil this would be the way to go but if you are looking for an investment in the oil patch that has a long-term investment implications, then you should go to…

Will both spike when the pandemic is over? Will both spike when the pandemic is over? HOU-T is the upward moving ETF. It is also a two times ETF. The HOU-T is certainly the side to be on today. If the virus news is true then there will be a lot of pent up demand…

Prefers Linamar to Magna for its much lower EV of 6x, and they have diverse businesses, like agricultural equipment.

Owned it a few years. He sees big upside. They have $120 million in cash and zero debt, trading at negative enterprise value. They already own their own warehouse and office building. It's a profitable business based on a value brand. They are doing well, selling quality clothes. The issue is how a board is…

A definite series of lower highs and lower lows. Continues to languish, downtrend remains in place. Value trap. Unless something changes, just avoid. So many other good places to put your $$ to work.

This has been a very difficult stock. Recently reported a very bad quarter. He would stay away from this one. Inventory has gone up a lot and their margins have fallen. Cut the dividend totally. Thinks they are in a bit of trouble.

Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.

(A Top Pick Mar 01/18, Down 22%) This was disappointing. They were trying to grow at the expense of the bottomline. Their growth plans did not come to fruition. The CFO left. He does not see a lot of reason to be involved in this name at this point.

Recently added a small, 2%, position. Likes the dividend yield. Believes the industrial economy will pick up, though Canada may be slower than the US. Exposed to the Canadian industrial economy right across the country. Yield is 6.7%.His strategy is to ride the stock up. As it does, the yield drops. So if the yield…

Printing is in decline. Trying to get into packaging. Stock's always been cheap, but it's not a growth market. Instead, look at DCM.

(A Top Pick Nov 6/14. Down 75%.) One of their key assets is an oil/gas services business, so it has come under a lot of pressure. This is a high risk/high reward situation. Still very much a binary outcome. It is either going to come under a lot of pressure with bankruptcy risks, or the…

They own U.S. hotels, a high-risk, high-reward stock. He's bearish on hotels, which is struggling with labour costs and keeping labour. HOT.UN has done a good job restoring vacancies, in the low-70s, though their peak was in the 80s. However, they've made up the balance on their hotel rates. Their balance sheet is slightly higher,…

Good company. In some interesting spaces in terms of hormonal stuff. They are on the search for a Viagra for women. The numbers into 2016 are looking pretty good. He wants to see one or 2 more quarters, but if they keep doing things the way they are, it is a name he would be…