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Investor Insights

This summary was created by AI, based on 11 opinions in the last 12 months.

Experts have mixed views on iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT-Q). Some believe it is a good ETF to speculate on interest rates falling, especially in the event of a recession, while others are not bullish on long bonds due to steep declines. However, the consensus appears to be that TLT could serve as a hedge for those anticipating a recession, but investors should consider rebalancing their portfolio. The ETF has a decent yield and is seen as a safe investment for the long term.

Consensus
Mixed
Valuation
Fair Value
Similar
TLT,QQQ
DON'T BUY

If the US Fed doesn't cut rates until 2025, then sell this now. Inflation won't fall to 2% in a straight line, and he expects a delay in cuts.

E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY

He's not bullish on 20-year bonds, ever. And he doesn't like ETFs to start with. If you want to speculate on interest rates falling, then this is a good ETF to buy. But he thinks you're better served with investments of 5 years and under, where there's better rate of return potential with less chance of loss.

If we had a recession tomorrow and rates went to 0%, this ETF would rally substantially.

E.T.F.'s
COMMENT

Long bonds like this one have been in steep decline, some 40-50%, from the moment that rates started to increase. Fortress-like, ultra-long-term bonds that you expect to be the ballast in your portfolio. Yields are a bit higher than before, but we're still talking 3-4%. On such a price decline, it's cold comfort.

E.T.F.'s
PARTIAL BUY

Owns shares, but has trimmed in $170 range. Higher interest rates tough on bonds. Good hedge for people who think recession on horizon. Would recommend for a small portion of portfolio. 

E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 03/22, Down 9.3%)

Is priced in US dollars. The long bonds have been getting smoked, but the cheaper they get, they better. His return is roughly even, considering the exchange rate.

E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK

Considering his three top picks: he will equal eight them on Dec. 31 to rebalance his portfolio. Will hold USD in TLT and PHYS.

E.T.F.'s
COMMENT

It is down over 9% so far this year but if interest rates come down you should see some lift. Has about a 4% yield.

E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK

He's recommended this before and he's negative on this, but he is not leveraged. But he collects a nice coupon in USD each month. The key is to rebalance your portfolio once a year, say December, to buy more or less of this.

E.T.F.'s
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 25/23, Down 6.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TLT has triggered its stop at $100.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 6%, when combined with our previous recommendations.

E.T.F.'s
BUY

3.80% yield is fairly strong for 20 years.
Good time to buy for long term investor.
Very safe investment. 

E.T.F.'s
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate TLT, a low MER defensive ETF holding 20-30 year US treasuries, as a TOP PICK. During periods of market uncertainty this holding will benefit from a strengthening US dollar and a flight to safer assets. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $90) to $100 looking to achieve $130 – upside potential over 20%. Yield 2.6%

E.T.F.'s
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

We select TLT, a low MER defensive ETF holding 20-30 year US treasuries, as a TOP PICK. During periods of market uncertainty this holding will benefit from a strengthening US dollar and a flight to safer assets. We recommend setting a stop loss at $90 at this time looking to achieve $130 – upside potential over 20%. Yield 2.67%

E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK

He thinks we are in a recession already and it will get ugly, though economic numbers and the street's perception is that things are fine. You want to be long USD and long TLT. If deflation and the USD rises in the US, long-term interest rates will crater.

E.T.F.'s
HOLD

Many seek safety in the bond market, unless you get years like 2022 and 2023 when interest rates rise quickly. Also, a long-dated bond is risky if rates run up like last year. That said, bonds have better return prospects than stocks. If we enter a recession, the more likely there will be rate cuts and the longer the term of the bonds the greater the price impact. Hang on, don't sell, if you already own.

E.T.F.'s
premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 24/23, Down 6.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with TLT has triggered its stop at $100.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with the previous buy recommendations, this will result in a net investment loss of 3%

E.T.F.'s
Showing 1 to 15 of 120 entries

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT-Q) Rating

Ranking : 4 out of 5

Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 4

Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 0

Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 2

Total Signals / Votes : 6

Stockchase rating for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is calculated according to the stock experts' signals. A high score means experts mostly recommend to buy the stock while a low score means experts mostly recommend to sell the stock.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT-Q) Frequently Asked Questions

What is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF stock symbol?

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is a American stock, trading under the symbol TLT-Q on the NASDAQ (TLT). It is usually referred to as NASDAQ:TLT or TLT-Q

Is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF a buy or a sell?

In the last year, 6 stock analysts published opinions about TLT-Q. 4 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 2 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.

Is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF a good investment or a top pick?

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.

Why is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.

Is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF worth watching?

6 stock analysts on Stockchase covered iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF stock price?

On 2024-06-18, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT-Q) stock closed at a price of $94.59.