iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas Bond
TLT-Q
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Opinion
Expert
WATCH
WATCH
August 29, 2019
Gone kind of ballistic. It's overbought, so it could pull back. If we have any lift of the fear, then TLT may not be such a good place.
Gone kind of ballistic. It's overbought, so it could pull back. If we have any lift of the fear, then TLT may not be such a good place.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
COMMENT
August 23, 2019
Tracks treasury yields. It popped up with falling interest rates. Seeing more money going to the long-end of the yield curve. The second the interest rate starts going up, this can go down 15-20%. Would be cautious about parking money there. A 5 year bond fund or GIC might be better to park money there.
Tracks treasury yields. It popped up with falling interest rates. Seeing more money going to the long-end of the yield curve. The second the interest rate starts going up, this can go down 15-20%. Would be cautious about parking money there. A 5 year bond fund or GIC might be better to park money there.
E.T.F.'s
HOLD
HOLD
August 1, 2019
In 2008, it returned over 60% to Canadian investors. When there's a recession, and growth retracts, people want their capital returned. So, long-duration assets, like 20-year bonds, go up a lot. Don't sell any of this. Most people are underbalanced in bonds, because they get complacent in equities.
In 2008, it returned over 60% to Canadian investors. When there's a recession, and growth retracts, people want their capital returned. So, long-duration assets, like 20-year bonds, go up a lot. Don't sell any of this. Most people are underbalanced in bonds, because they get complacent in equities.
E.T.F.'s
BUY
BUY
July 29, 2019
E.T.F.'s
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Chief Investment Officer, Partner, ETF Capital Management Inc.
$131.510
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 9, 2019
To play potential interest rate volatility. He trades this often. To buy a call on a put, you have to buy a premium. He thinks interest rates will stay flat in the coming 12 months.
To play potential interest rate volatility. He trades this often. To buy a call on a put, you have to buy a premium. He thinks interest rates will stay flat in the coming 12 months.
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 16, 2019
(A Top Pick Jan 29/19, Up 2%) Volatility was very low. It enjoyed a 63% return in 2018 because of the strength of the USD but mostly because of US treasuries. We had a growth shock in 2018. This actually did well in the December correction. Canadian portfolios should hold US bonds.
(A Top Pick Jan 29/19, Up 2%) Volatility was very low. It enjoyed a 63% return in 2018 because of the strength of the USD but mostly because of US treasuries. We had a growth shock in 2018. This actually did well in the December correction. Canadian portfolios should hold US bonds.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
COMMENT
April 16, 2019
What ETF shorts the market? Don't short and avoid leveraged ETFs, but if you have to, then look at HIU-T or HIX-T. When you short, you're fighting the dividend and the natural drift upward of equities. Don't short. Instead, look at the TLT-T (up 63% in 2008) or HTB-T (up 29% in 2008); you get the outsized returns from owning a US-denominated bond and get paid to wait.
What ETF shorts the market? Don't short and avoid leveraged ETFs, but if you have to, then look at HIU-T or HIX-T. When you short, you're fighting the dividend and the natural drift upward of equities. Don't short. Instead, look at the TLT-T (up 63% in 2008) or HTB-T (up 29% in 2008); you get the outsized returns from owning a US-denominated bond and get paid to wait.
E.T.F.'s
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
March 18, 2019
US Long Bonds. TLT-Q is the benchmark for long bonds. He just bought some in all his portfolios. Trade the range. Buy on dips. This will be the best protection in the next global economic downtown. These bonds are always the flight to safety.
US Long Bonds. TLT-Q is the benchmark for long bonds. He just bought some in all his portfolios. Trade the range. Buy on dips. This will be the best protection in the next global economic downtown. These bonds are always the flight to safety.
E.T.F.'s
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Chief Investment Officer, Partner, ETF Capital Management Inc.
$121.677
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 19, 2019
He think interest rates will be cut this year and would buy $130 calls on TLT. He doesn't see a rate cut, but if you do then buy the calls. These are portfolio bonds with a 20-year term. The duration is 17 on this ETF, so a 1% drop in rates means should translate into a 17% hike in the ETF's value. Yes, do it.
He think interest rates will be cut this year and would buy $130 calls on TLT. He doesn't see a rate cut, but if you do then buy the calls. These are portfolio bonds with a 20-year term. The duration is 17 on this ETF, so a 1% drop in rates means should translate into a 17% hike in the ETF's value. Yes, do it.
E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 29, 2019
Tracks US bonds, and it's volatile. This does well when equities do poorly, just like last fall, or in 2008 when it returned nearly 64%. This offsets portfolio loss.
Tracks US bonds, and it's volatile. This does well when equities do poorly, just like last fall, or in 2008 when it returned nearly 64%. This offsets portfolio loss.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
COMMENT
January 24, 2019
Sideways over the last couple of years. Not going anywhere but a good trade. Good to buy at around $115ish
Sideways over the last couple of years. Not going anywhere but a good trade. Good to buy at around $115ish
E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 21, 2019
Long-dated U.S. treasuries in this ETF. It'll rise in price as yields drop and you'll benefit from the CAD weakening against the USD, a double whammy for Canadian investors.
Long-dated U.S. treasuries in this ETF. It'll rise in price as yields drop and you'll benefit from the CAD weakening against the USD, a double whammy for Canadian investors.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
COMMENT
December 17, 2018
What ETF will hold capital over the next 12 months to buy for a RRSP account with USD? A USD GIC or a money market funder if you don't want to lose any money. At best, the market will offer single-digit returns. Look at the Spiders (ETFs), the grandddaddy of them all, or TLT. Do a 50/50 split.
What ETF will hold capital over the next 12 months to buy for a RRSP account with USD? A USD GIC or a money market funder if you don't want to lose any money. At best, the market will offer single-digit returns. Look at the Spiders (ETFs), the grandddaddy of them all, or TLT. Do a 50/50 split.
E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
December 17, 2018
A strictly defensive buy to park money. Write an option out to June, buying at $118.50 and a $3.75 call and netting $114.75. Excluding dividend, you get a 3.27% return if TLT stays where it is. Downside protection at $114.75. He doubts interest rates will go up much in the coming 12 months.
A strictly defensive buy to park money. Write an option out to June, buying at $118.50 and a $3.75 call and netting $114.75. Excluding dividend, you get a 3.27% return if TLT stays where it is. Downside protection at $114.75. He doubts interest rates will go up much in the coming 12 months.
E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 26, 2018
It's a great summer play and is now weakening. For the past year it's been consolidating. It could find support, but seasonablity works against it--bonds do well until October, then get out. Why? As on October, risk-on trade takes hold. With rising US rates and risk-on trade, he's no confident that TLT will get a big pop. He's not excited about this.
It's a great summer play and is now weakening. For the past year it's been consolidating. It could find support, but seasonablity works against it--bonds do well until October, then get out. Why? As on October, risk-on trade takes hold. With rising US rates and risk-on trade, he's no confident that TLT will get a big pop. He's not excited about this.
E.T.F.'s
Comments
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