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Our Mega List of the Latest ETFs Mentioned on StockchaseTrade deal skepticism pressures U.S. markets amid mixed earnings23 Stock Top Picks and 3 ETF (Jan 25-31)This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is viewed positively among several experts as a strategic hedge in the current market characterized by tariff struggles and potential economic slowdown. Many analysts focus on its attractive yield, ranging from 3.9% to 4.1%, and recommend establishing stop-loss levels at around $82 or $86 to manage risk. As interest rates seem to stabilize, there's a belief that TLT could appreciate, with potential targets reaching between $95 and $109. While some analysts express caution regarding rate volatility and government debt dynamics, TLT is perceived as a suitable choice for those looking to navigate through uncertain economic waters. Overall, its role as a long-term treasury bond fund makes it a preferable option compared to various equities.
ZFL is Canadian long bonds. TLT is made up of Treasury long bonds. Both great vehicles in the context of trading and looking out for a recession. We're in a trading range for interest rates in general for the next few years. Bound on one end by colossal amounts of government debt, and on the other side inflation is driving rates higher as well. And all with the prospect of a slower global economy.
If you think there's going to be a harder economic landing, federal bonds will outperform provincial bonds as a rule of thumb. But you'll get a bit more yield in a provincial bond in the long run.
Most recently he's been adding duration and maxing out long-bond exposure. After the markets rally a bit, he's trimming that back. He wouldn't say buy and hold. If you were to see the US 10-year get back to 4.75%, and the US long bond get back to 5%, those are great opportunities for longer-term trades.
He doesn't like the stock market, so he's looking for alternatives. This is one. Likes that there's the possibility of rates coming down in the US. His downside sell level is ~$86. First target is $95, second target is $100. Not correlated to stocks, so it will march to its own drumbeat (inflation, USD, and interest rate policy). Small dividend.
When you buy any bond fund or ETF, you have persistent rate risk. Very different from buying a bond that matures. If you want to take advantage of falling yields, you have to own long-term bonds that don't mature for a long, long time. So if interest rates fall, you get the advantage of that.
For a bet on falling interest rates, long bonds are the way to do it. ZFL contains long-term federal government bonds in Canada. In the US, use TLT. Best bang for your buck, but highly volatile and highly risky. Long bonds right now are facing a tremendous wall of supply, and he's not sure they're going to fall that much in price. He's quite cautious on long bonds right now.
When and if the Feds ease, bonds will move. Fell like a brick when rates went up, now in a period of easing in Canada and potential easing in US. Won't happen overnight, but a relatively safe trade, and you'll earn a bit of interest as you wait.
Chart shows a symmetrical triangle -- higher lows, but lower highs. A consolidation. When it breaks out, will almost certainly be to the upside, especially after a mega-downtrend. And you'll probably get a good move, which may take a year or just 3 months.
Tends to go in the opposite direction of interest rates. As treasury yields go up it tends to go down, and vice versa. When Fed started to talk about pivoting, had a nice run. Since January, Fed's been walking all that back with its "higher for longer" and reducing rate cuts to one, so TLT's come off a bit.
Encouraging that it's started to pick up in last few weeks. Looking around the world, seems that rates are not going higher anytime soon. Another factor is how aggressively will Fed cut? Cut once or twice and stop, or keep going?
He's not bullish on 20-year bonds, ever. And he doesn't like ETFs to start with. If you want to speculate on interest rates falling, then this is a good ETF to buy. But he thinks you're better served with investments of 5 years and under, where there's better rate of return potential with less chance of loss.
If we had a recession tomorrow and rates went to 0%, this ETF would rally substantially.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is a American stock, trading under the symbol TLT-Q on the NASDAQ (TLT). It is usually referred to as NASDAQ:TLT or TLT-Q
In the last year, 12 stock analysts published opinions about TLT-Q. 4 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 4 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.
Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.
12 stock analysts on Stockchase covered iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.
On 2025-04-11, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT-Q) stock closed at a price of $86.89.
US long-dated treasuries. Very good compliment to your growth stock portfolio. During crises, bonds spike because it becomes more about return of capital rather than return on capital. Long duration means it's much more volatile; for example, in 2022-2023 there was a peak to trough loss of about 40%. See his Top Picks.