Alcoa (AA-N) Stock Predictions - Stockchase
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Alcoa (AA-N)

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Alcoa

AA-N

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Alcoa (AA-N) SAVE Apr, 19, 2019, 8:39 am

26.66 1.06 (3.82%)

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TOP PICK
Alcoa(AA-N) 

March 26, 2019

Aluminum is a growth metal because it's light. Incredibly low price. Deleveraged, cut costs. Still generating free cash flow at low commodity prices. Don't need much to go right to move forward significantly. Aluminum prices are bottoming, he thinks. Over time, demand will grow. Sees earnings doubling over the next year or two, which will impact the stock price. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $38.82)
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Aluminum is a growth metal because it's light. Incredibly low price. Deleveraged, cut costs. Still generating free cash flow at low commodity prices. Don't need much to go right to move forward significantly. Aluminum prices are bottoming, he thinks. Over time, demand will grow. Sees earnings doubling over the next year or two, which will impact the stock price. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $38.82)
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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$27.540
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY
Alcoa(AA-N) 

January 31, 2019

Only metal stock they hold. He is bullish on aluminium prices as there is demand from the automotive sector. The best in the business. A volatile stock. OK to own if you have a relatively long term horizon (5 years +).
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Only metal stock they hold. He is bullish on aluminium prices as there is demand from the automotive sector. The best in the business. A volatile stock. OK to own if you have a relatively long term horizon (5 years +).
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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$29.680
Owned Owned
Yes

PAST TOP PICK
Alcoa(AA-N) 

October 2, 2018

(A Top Pick November 28, 2017. Down 4%). Alcoa suffered from the trade barriers, but with the USMCA agreements, he thinks that the tariffs will come off and Alcoa will do better.

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(A Top Pick November 28, 2017. Down 4%). Alcoa suffered from the trade barriers, but with the USMCA agreements, he thinks that the tariffs will come off and Alcoa will do better.

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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$41.560
Owned Owned
Yes

HOLD
Alcoa(AA-N) 

May 23, 2018

Metals look interesting, but he would consider other names before Alcoa. Hold, don't sell this. 

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Metals look interesting, but he would consider other names before Alcoa. Hold, don't sell this. 

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David Burrows

President , Barometer Capital Ma...

Price Price
$48.570
Owned Owned
Unknown

BUY
Alcoa(AA-N) 

May 7, 2018

Aluminum remains a growth metal.  He owns it because Aluminum is in a sweet spot as Chinese production has come off.  You rent this stock, you don't own it.  It is the right moment in time for this one.

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Aluminum remains a growth metal.  He owns it because Aluminum is in a sweet spot as Chinese production has come off.  You rent this stock, you don't own it.  It is the right moment in time for this one.

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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$54.550
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY
Alcoa(AA-N) 

April 9, 2018

A cyclical stock. Aluminum is in a sweet spot as the Chinese cut back on capacity. There'll be a premium of aluminum prices. Rent, don't buy this stock. There could be share buybacks and dividend increases next year. Earnings will
double in the next three years.

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A cyclical stock. Aluminum is in a sweet spot as the Chinese cut back on capacity. There'll be a premium of aluminum prices. Rent, don't buy this stock. There could be share buybacks and dividend increases next year. Earnings will
double in the next three years.

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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$50.620
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT
Alcoa(AA-N) 

January 3, 2018

A tough one to analyse. They’ve put themselves in the position of being a low-cost producer of aluminum. Being a low-cost producer of aluminum is a mixed blessing, because you have high cost Chinese competitors that don't have to make money. They can lose unlimited sums.

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A tough one to analyse. They’ve put themselves in the position of being a low-cost producer of aluminum. Being a low-cost producer of aluminum is a mixed blessing, because you have high cost Chinese competitors that don't have to make money. They can lose unlimited sums.

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David Fingold

VP and Por, Dynamic Funds...

Price Price
$54.500
Owned Owned
No

TOP PICK
Alcoa(AA-N) 

November 28, 2017

Spun off its Arconic unit last year, making it a pure aluminum play again. Aluminum is in the sweet spot of metals, because it is a growth metal. Because it’s a light and strong metal, every new generation of cars and planes uses more aluminum, being more fuel efficient. They have a pristine balance sheet and minimal debt. Throwing off massive free cash flow. After years of suffering through very weak pricing environment for aluminum and alumina, the pricing cycle is starting to turn. A low-cost producer and poised to generate significant earnings growth. Trading at 28.7X trailing 12 months earnings, and he is looking for earnings to double over the next 3 years. As a cyclical company, you have to buy when the PE is high, and sell when the PE is low and it looks like a cheap stock. (Analysts’ price target is $55.)

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Spun off its Arconic unit last year, making it a pure aluminum play again. Aluminum is in the sweet spot of metals, because it is a growth metal. Because it’s a light and strong metal, every new generation of cars and planes uses more aluminum, being more fuel efficient. They have a pristine balance sheet and minimal debt. Throwing off massive free cash flow. After years of suffering through very weak pricing environment for aluminum and alumina, the pricing cycle is starting to turn. A low-cost producer and poised to generate significant earnings growth. Trading at 28.7X trailing 12 months earnings, and he is looking for earnings to double over the next 3 years. As a cyclical company, you have to buy when the PE is high, and sell when the PE is low and it looks like a cheap stock. (Analysts’ price target is $55.)

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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$43.300
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT
Alcoa(AA-N) 

October 23, 2017

The only mining stock he owns, because aluminum is a growth metal. Because it is light, every new generation of cars and planes has more aluminum. Aluminum has been in a down cycle for a long time. Alcoa has split itself into 2 companies. For aluminum, the up cycle is now here. This is a cyclical stock, so when it starts going up even further and looks really, really cheap, it is probably time to start looking at selling it, because it is a pure aluminum play.

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The only mining stock he owns, because aluminum is a growth metal. Because it is light, every new generation of cars and planes has more aluminum. Aluminum has been in a down cycle for a long time. Alcoa has split itself into 2 companies. For aluminum, the up cycle is now here. This is a cyclical stock, so when it starts going up even further and looks really, really cheap, it is probably time to start looking at selling it, because it is a pure aluminum play.

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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$47.930
Owned Owned
Yes

COMMENT
Alcoa(AA-N) 

July 24, 2017

Chart shows this was in a gently trending down-trend since February, and then broke out in June. The stock looks great, plus it is metal products and materials seem to be doing okay right now. The price of aluminum seems to be in an uptrend right now.

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Chart shows this was in a gently trending down-trend since February, and then broke out in June. The stock looks great, plus it is metal products and materials seem to be doing okay right now. The price of aluminum seems to be in an uptrend right now.

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Keith Richards

Portfolio , ValueTrend Wealth Ma...

Price Price
$36.690
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT
Alcoa(AA-N) 

April 6, 2017

Being in the materials based metals space, it will be a beneficiary in a cyclical environment where earnings are going to start to grow. Share price has weakened off a little, along with the rest of the market. It has come down to the 100-day moving average which could be interesting. RSI is down to about 45, and it hit oversold levels about a week ago. It is certainly a name you could consider owning.

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Being in the materials based metals space, it will be a beneficiary in a cyclical environment where earnings are going to start to grow. Share price has weakened off a little, along with the rest of the market. It has come down to the 100-day moving average which could be interesting. RSI is down to about 45, and it hit oversold levels about a week ago. It is certainly a name you could consider owning.

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Stan Wong

Director &, Private Wealth Manag...

Price Price
$33.650
Owned Owned
No

COMMENT
Alcoa(AA-N) 

November 24, 2016

Split into 2 companies, Alcoa (AA-N) and Arconic (ARNC-N). He likes them both. Alcoa is a classic deep cyclical, where he bought it down 75%. Shares have rallied, but this is the commodity side. With all the shutdowns, aluminum demand is outstripping supply, so Alcoa has started to rally, with the new US rule requiring more aluminum content in cars. Arconic is a great value added area. These are cyclicals, so you buy them when they have no earnings, and sell them when they are selling at 6X earnings.

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Split into 2 companies, Alcoa (AA-N) and Arconic (ARNC-N). He likes them both. Alcoa is a classic deep cyclical, where he bought it down 75%. Shares have rallied, but this is the commodity side. With all the shutdowns, aluminum demand is outstripping supply, so Alcoa has started to rally, with the new US rule requiring more aluminum content in cars. Arconic is a great value added area. These are cyclicals, so you buy them when they have no earnings, and sell them when they are selling at 6X earnings.

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Lorne Steinberg

President , Lorne Steinberg Weal...

Price Price
$31.510
Owned Owned
Unknown

SELL
Alcoa(AA-N) 

November 15, 2016

Manufacturers of aluminum have not been very good stocks. Profit margins are not very good. He does not like to own stocks that lose money at the bottom of a cycle, and this is certainly one of those companies. There is a lot of risk with this.

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Manufacturers of aluminum have not been very good stocks. Profit margins are not very good. He does not like to own stocks that lose money at the bottom of a cycle, and this is certainly one of those companies. There is a lot of risk with this.

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John Burke

CEO & CIO, Burke Financial Stra...

Price Price
$30.210
Owned Owned
No

SELL
Alcoa(AA-N) 

September 2, 2016

(Market Call Minute.) Not particularly good momentum, highly volatile and low ROE’s. Has not been able to grow earnings. This is a Short for him.

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(Market Call Minute.) Not particularly good momentum, highly volatile and low ROE’s. Has not been able to grow earnings. This is a Short for him.

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Jason Mann

CIO & Co-F, Edgehill Patners...

Price Price
$10.130
Owned Owned
Yes

WAIT
Alcoa(AA-N) 

May 20, 2016

Wouldn’t go into this just yet. It is still firmly in the value investor camp. Starting to gain traction and commodity stabilization is starting.

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Wouldn’t go into this just yet. It is still firmly in the value investor camp. Starting to gain traction and commodity stabilization is starting.

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Cameron Hurst

Chief Inve, Equium Capital Manag...

Price Price
$9.110
Owned Owned
No

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