Equity Financial Holdings (EQI-T) Stock Predictions - Stockchase
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Equity Financial Holdings (EQI-T)

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE May 2007

Delisted from TSE Dec 2017

Financial Services

Equity Financial Holdings

EQI-T

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Equity Financial Holdings (EQI-T) SAVE Dec, 31, 1969, 7:00 pm

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This company is not ACTIVE.

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PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick May 26/15, Up 5.84%) There was some activist involvement and it went bad and the stock fell to below book value.  Others in the space are between 2-3 times book value.  He has a short position.

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(Top Pick May 26/15, Up 5.84%) There was some activist involvement and it went bad and the stock fell to below book value.  Others in the space are between 2-3 times book value.  He has a short position.

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James Hodgins

Chief Inve, Curvature Hedge Stra...

Price Price
$10.000
Owned Owned
Yes

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 22/14. Down 16.58%.) Still likes this. The whole space has done poorly. This one has probably hung in better than most of the others. They are not in Alberta. Actually overcapitalized now, so only has about 2 turns of debt compared to the average of about 7X debt to asset ratio. There is a lot of room to grow for this. He has been Short on other names, so is actually up in total.

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(A Top Pick Dec 22/14. Down 16.58%.) Still likes this. The whole space has done poorly. This one has probably hung in better than most of the others. They are not in Alberta. Actually overcapitalized now, so only has about 2 turns of debt compared to the average of about 7X debt to asset ratio. There is a lot of room to grow for this. He has been Short on other names, so is actually up in total.

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James Hodgins

Chief Inve, Curvature Hedge Stra...

Price Price
$8.000
Owned Owned
Yes

TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 20/14. Down 9.95%.) The story has not changed. They hired a new CEO and have spent the last year rebuilding the talent base in terms of mortgage originations within the company. Trades below its Book Value, only because the mortgage book shrank over the past year because no one was selling mortgages. They have now re-staffed, so you are going to start to see the mortgage book grow again, which he expects to happen this quarter. When that happens, and the market sees that turn, it is going to start pricing in looking forward. Could see a double in 2-3 years with very little risk.

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(A Top Pick June 20/14. Down 9.95%.) The story has not changed. They hired a new CEO and have spent the last year rebuilding the talent base in terms of mortgage originations within the company. Trades below its Book Value, only because the mortgage book shrank over the past year because no one was selling mortgages. They have now re-staffed, so you are going to start to see the mortgage book grow again, which he expects to happen this quarter. When that happens, and the market sees that turn, it is going to start pricing in looking forward. Could see a double in 2-3 years with very little risk.

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James Hodgins

Chief Inve, Curvature Hedge Stra...

Price Price
$9.060
Owned Owned
Yes

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 2/13. Down 16.63%.) He was in this because of a good management team that came from an industry that knows how to do subprime mortgages. There was a dispute where management was let go, followed by activists actions that was bringing them back. It turns out there was a settlement, but they didn’t bring back the original management so he got out. It is cheap and they have a lot of cash, so he expects at some point it will get sold.

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(A Top Pick Dec 2/13. Down 16.63%.) He was in this because of a good management team that came from an industry that knows how to do subprime mortgages. There was a dispute where management was let go, followed by activists actions that was bringing them back. It turns out there was a settlement, but they didn’t bring back the original management so he got out. It is cheap and they have a lot of cash, so he expects at some point it will get sold.

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Jim Huang

President, T.I.P. Wealth Manage...

Price Price
$10.180
Owned Owned
No

TOP PICK

A very cheap turnaround story. Sold off a processing business about a year ago. In the meantime, some activist shareholders got involved and brought in a new management team that knows more of the mortgage business and are doing a phenomenal job in building out their team. Trading below its BV, which is currently around $9.70 per share, whereas its comps typically trade between 2 and 3 times BV. As the company re-ramps up its mortgage book, you see a pretty easy double here. Thinks the ramp up in their mortgage book is going to happen over the next three quarters and you will see a re-rating in the stock.

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A very cheap turnaround story. Sold off a processing business about a year ago. In the meantime, some activist shareholders got involved and brought in a new management team that knows more of the mortgage business and are doing a phenomenal job in building out their team. Trading below its BV, which is currently around $9.70 per share, whereas its comps typically trade between 2 and 3 times BV. As the company re-ramps up its mortgage book, you see a pretty easy double here. Thinks the ramp up in their mortgage book is going to happen over the next three quarters and you will see a re-rating in the stock.

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James Hodgins

Chief Inve, Curvature Hedge Stra...

Price Price
$8.930
Owned Owned
Yes

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 2/13. Down 23.75%.) This was an event driven situation where they had been successfully operating, but management got forced out. With a dissenting shareholder on board, the idea was to put management back on board. However, there was a compromise and previous management was not brought back. Because of this, he sold his holdings.

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(A Top Pick Dec 2/13. Down 23.75%.) This was an event driven situation where they had been successfully operating, but management got forced out. With a dissenting shareholder on board, the idea was to put management back on board. However, there was a compromise and previous management was not brought back. Because of this, he sold his holdings.

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Jim Huang

President, T.I.P. Wealth Manage...

Price Price
$9.310
Owned Owned
No

DON'T BUY

There was an executive proxy battle.  He does not see how the earnings will now accelerate.  It will take a while to ramp up again.

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There was an executive proxy battle.  He does not see how the earnings will now accelerate.  It will take a while to ramp up again.

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Peter Imhof

Vice Presi, AGF Investments Inc...

Price Price
$9.180
Owned Owned
No

TOP PICK

A turnaround story. He is kind of bearish on the mortgage space longer-term, but this stock is just too cheap to ignore. Trading right around Book Value where its competition is trading at 2-3 times Book. New management really understands the Canadian mortgage business, and they are going to start ramping up the loan originations over the next 6-12 months. As they do that, the valuation gap will close between its competition. Also, likes that management knows we are in a housing bubble, and are being very conservative on the kinds of loans they make.

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A turnaround story. He is kind of bearish on the mortgage space longer-term, but this stock is just too cheap to ignore. Trading right around Book Value where its competition is trading at 2-3 times Book. New management really understands the Canadian mortgage business, and they are going to start ramping up the loan originations over the next 6-12 months. As they do that, the valuation gap will close between its competition. Also, likes that management knows we are in a housing bubble, and are being very conservative on the kinds of loans they make.

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James Hodgins

Chief Inve, Curvature Hedge Stra...

Price Price
$10.050
Owned Owned
Yes

SELL

Had a bunch of really big problems in the company. They basically had to throw out the guys that were running the company, and there has been a big change in the board. Although they have lots of capital, they are regulated by OSPI (?). Because of their past transgressions, they are being kept on a really, really tight leash. Their ability to grow the business is quite limited right now. As earnings come in, they are going to come in quite modestly because of the kinds of mortgages they can issue. (See Top Picks.)

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Had a bunch of really big problems in the company. They basically had to throw out the guys that were running the company, and there has been a big change in the board. Although they have lots of capital, they are regulated by OSPI (?). Because of their past transgressions, they are being kept on a really, really tight leash. Their ability to grow the business is quite limited right now. As earnings come in, they are going to come in quite modestly because of the kinds of mortgages they can issue. (See Top Picks.)

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Jason Donville

President , Donville Kent Asset ...

Price Price
$9.600
Owned Owned
No

TOP PICK

Alternative mortgage lenders. Founders came out of Home Capital (HCG-T) a couple of years ago and have done very well. However, suddenly there have been some boardroom changes so there is a proxy battle coming in the next month or so. He is fully confident that the previous management will be restored and the company will be back on a growth path. This could double from here.

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Alternative mortgage lenders. Founders came out of Home Capital (HCG-T) a couple of years ago and have done very well. However, suddenly there have been some boardroom changes so there is a proxy battle coming in the next month or so. He is fully confident that the previous management will be restored and the company will be back on a growth path. This could double from here.

Financial Services
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Jim Huang

President, T.I.P. Wealth Manage...

Price Price
$11.010
Owned Owned
Yes

TOP PICK

This used to be a corporate trust transfer registry company. With experienced managers from Home Capital (HCG-T) they have changed the company into and alternative mortgage provider. Has done very well but recently had some management turmoil with the top 2 guys getting terminated. Feels it was completely unnecessary. Stock could easily be $20 over the next 12-18 months if the board does the right thing.

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This used to be a corporate trust transfer registry company. With experienced managers from Home Capital (HCG-T) they have changed the company into and alternative mortgage provider. Has done very well but recently had some management turmoil with the top 2 guys getting terminated. Feels it was completely unnecessary. Stock could easily be $20 over the next 12-18 months if the board does the right thing.

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Jim Huang

President, T.I.P. Wealth Manage...

Price Price
$12.210
Owned Owned
Yes

HOLD
(Market Call Minute) Great management team, but waiting for mortgage business to kick in.
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(Market Call Minute) Great management team, but waiting for mortgage business to kick in.
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Jason Donville

President , Donville Kent Asset ...

Price Price
$9.050
Owned Owned
Unknown

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 22/10. Up 45.15%.) Likes their nonprime mortgage business with experienced management from Home Capital (HCG-T). Still a lot of upside.
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(A Top Pick June 22/10. Up 45.15%.) Likes their nonprime mortgage business with experienced management from Home Capital (HCG-T). Still a lot of upside.
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Jim Huang

President, T.I.P. Wealth Manage...

Price Price
$9.000
Owned Owned
Yes

BUY
If you are looking for a financial company that is coming out of the chutes, this is one. Starting to move into mortgage lending, which will probably have a big ramp up next year or the year after. Good management.
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If you are looking for a financial company that is coming out of the chutes, this is one. Starting to move into mortgage lending, which will probably have a big ramp up next year or the year after. Good management.
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Jason Donville

President , Donville Kent Asset ...

Price Price
$10.590
Owned Owned
No

TOP PICK
2 sided business. Base business is a custodian business i.e. trust, transfer agency for stocks, proxies, etc. 2nd business is an alternative mortgage business for people who can’t get mortgages from a regular lender. When they get the regulatory approval they should grow quickly.
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2 sided business. Base business is a custodian business i.e. trust, transfer agency for stocks, proxies, etc. 2nd business is an alternative mortgage business for people who can’t get mortgages from a regular lender. When they get the regulatory approval they should grow quickly.
Financial Services
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Jim Huang

President, T.I.P. Wealth Manage...

Price Price
$7.530
Owned Owned
Yes

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