The market has bounced back quickly. He's surprised. It's like the last gasp; we've seen this before prior to past downturns. We had a sudden downdraft (December 2018), then a bounce (January-present), then things hit reality. Reality is tthere's a disconnect between high markets and economic realties around the world, particularly amid trade wars. Economists are lowering expectations for global growth. Be very cautious by holding more cash than usual, be careful what you invest in, and take profits. He expects no move by the U.S. Fed today, not in this market.

The market before today's U.S. Fed announcement was down, then it bumped up. Everyone was expecting one rate hike for 2019, but the Fed today announced none, and only one in 2020. When the dust settled, the only negative was in banks--fundamentally this new is not great for the banks, because they need higher interest rates--the yield curve is flat. The stock market liked the Fed announcement today. Yes, global growth is slowing, but it is still growing. REITs, utilities and consumer discretionary did quite well today. The U.S. and Canadian 10-year bond spread has never been wider because the U.S. has massive budget deficits. The past six years have reversed the norm where Canada's interest rates are higher than America's. Canada is in good financial shape vs. the U.S. and predicts this outperformance for the next 12 months. This flies against common thinking. Also, oil is reaching for a new recent high while Canadian oil companies have reduced costs to be more efficient. The oil patch won't ramp up, but be stable. Overall, he's not negative Canada like so many. He's bullish.

Extended duration treasuries. These are 30-40-year treasuries, which were affordable last year, but expensive now. He'd hesistate buying them, because the U.S. government is creating a massive deficit, so any downturn will get passed onto any treasuries. He's far more bullish in Canadian debt than American. Also, he doesn't see inflation coming back. Too risky to buy. Avoid.

How do you use the RSI indicator? The RSI default is 14 days. You're looking at the speed of movement over a given time period. You want a stock to move up to achieve momentum. Like a baseball, a stock has a maximum acceleration before it slows and moves down. The time frame can vary depending on the type of trader you are.

The budget was announced today. Apart from a measure to help Millennials (especially in hot markets like Toronto and Vancouver) buy their first home, the budget was market-neutral. Notley called the Alberta election for April 16. Surprisingly, she's done well to help Alberta during this oil crisis, and is likely calling the election now to take advantage of the high price of WCS. She could win. The China-US trade negotiations saw a hiccup late today and the market slid as a result. Hiccups are expected in negotiations.

Market. It is rare that he focuses on Canada because it is 3% of the world, but a budget is important. Canada is underperforming dramatically so how governments invest tax dollars is important. Infrastructure is important and Trudeau has not been good at pipelines. Housing affordability is a big issue. He believes in stress tests to that any problem in an extended family does not put a home at risk. Punitive taxing helps cap escalating housing prices. Monetary policy has to be re-thought. Pushing interest rates to zero hurts the seniors/savers and helps the young people.

Gold. It is one of the bigger positions he has. It is less than 1% of the world and he has between 4 and 8% invested in it. $1350 to $1375 is where the resistance has been for years. It would take a big flight to safety for it to break out. He would sell into a rally.

Market. Feb 25th the market said it was too much too soon and so we are now in a consolidation correction. He thinks the US China trade dispute will be resolved. World indicators in 6 months should improve and there is about a year's worth of long term significant up moves in North American markets. Oil is trying hard to get above $60 and looks pretty good. He thinks gold will 'catch a bid'.