Market Outlook He is optimistic about the Canadian market. If you look at last year's 10% TSX drop, historically the subsequent market goes up 12% -- good 90% of the time, he says. Canada is very washed out in the energy and financial sectors. Multiples on banks have come down a lot, which should bode well for them. He does not think we are headed to a recession, relative to earnings growth. If we can see some stability, we can see some catch up on values. Small caps got hurt hard last year and he thinks that means a healthy rebound in this space.

2019 will be an epic bears vs. bulls battle that'll be a lot like 2018. Up 10% and down 10%, and in between you'll see fantastic opportunities because of volatility. Great for traders (not long-term investors). He won't say we're in a bull or bear market, just a transitional market with lots of volatility. But there is a bearish backdrop out there given a world slowdown. Between the bearish and bullish moves, you can bank some money.

Market. Almost half of Canadians are very close to insolvency. Larry started working when he was 9 years old so he knows all about this. His family had massive credit card debts. The world is extremely fragile from a growth perspective. Governments need to help the bottom half. He believes the first $40k of income should not be taxable. There are political solutions for hard issues like this that do not put the owness on the bank of Canada. He believes Trump will be impeached. He believes it will be disruptive. He likes earnings season so far in the US. Banks missed on earnings but the market handled it very well. Markets should be okay for a couple of weeks. He was aggressively selling into last week's strength and he thinks there is a bear market coming and we are heading into a recession. China has been running a 15% deficit for the last 15 years. It is the biggest bubble building in history. Interest rates cannot rise very much as we cannot afford it.

Put Write vs. Covered Call strategies. Put write is the most defensive strategy. Buying long is the most aggressive. If you think there is limited upside you used covered calls. A put strategy is more defensive. You get yield off the market.

In an average recession earnings tend to drop 20%. The S&P should go down to 1500, the breakout of 2000 high.

He was exited the REIT sector when the rates were making the turn. That does not mean there aren't good REIT companies in that sector. He thinks with interest rates rising, it would be a headwind on the sector. He would stick with the bigger guys.

Market Outlook He is not really buying into the full rally mode of the market. He is holding a larger amount of cash than normal. He is not sure we have seen the lows yet. He does not buy into a "V" bottom. Nobody really knows. The key is to own companies that you can own for the long run. Don't try to guess what the market is going to do in the short run. He is looking to get back into the Canadian oil sector. Although he doesn't like the political environment, he thinks it is too oversold now.