The market has bounced back quickly. He's surprised. It's like the last gasp; we've seen this before prior to past downturns. We had a sudden downdraft (December 2018), then a bounce (January-present), then things hit reality. Reality is tthere's a disconnect between high markets and economic realties around the world, particularly amid trade wars. Economists are lowering expectations for global growth. Be very cautious by holding more cash than usual, be careful what you invest in, and take profits. He expects no move by the U.S. Fed today, not in this market.

2,800 on the S&P has long been a resistance point and it's definitely blowing through. He started buying yesterday and will keep picking away, even though markets are a little overbought and many stocks are overvalued. He's picking up resources and materials, stocks that have fallen and are basing, not the stocks that are already rising. Can the S&P sustain 2,850? The market has finally cracked 2,850 after many attempts. It'll probably crack 2,900--and that will be pretty big. Though 2,900 will invite selling pressure, the S&P can continue to be bullish after that.

The price of copper. He's been buying the base metals. Copper has stopped its downtrend, made a base and has just broken out. He bought upon the breakout. This could reach $3.50, certainly low-$3.

The just-announced federal budget: $1.25 billion assistance from the CMHC to buy a first home. Millennials will be happy, but the assistance is creating only 25,000 new homeowners. On the deficit side, they had a bit of a windfall, so they will give it back to Canadians, which is what happens in an election year. Projected growth is 1.8% and 1.6% in 2020--these numbers will likely be wrong. We may have a recession in that time.

Real core inflation is when we have more money in our pockets and are willing to spend it. Right now we all wait for the sales. If they just started giving money to people for free the people would spend it and that would create inflation, but printing more money does not do it. Governments can't balance the books.

Educational Segment. 12'th anniversary of his show. What was the return 12 years ago if someone bought the balanced Canadian market. The XBB-T had 3% return in bonds and 4% in stocks. After inflation it is 0 to 1 percent. He advocates for active investing.

We're seeing a slow melt-up with supportive central banks, stimulus in China and the third year of a Presidential cycle of a President who wants high markets. Valuations are okay and earning expectations are at a low bar. Many de-risked in Q4 and are looking for a pullback to get back in, but are not seeing it, so we're grinding up slowly. We'll be up 3-5% more this year on the Dow and other indices and take out old highs. Decent gains from here....There's good and bad news for Facebook. Bad are the recent headline; the good is the move off their lows, their growth rates and pivoting from defence to offence last quarter. Their valuation is attractive. But any BIG stock is a target for politicians, like BIG pharma or BIG tech. That's a risk. But if you buy Facebook on a pullback, you'll be rewarded in 12-24 months. The Canadian budget tomorrow: likely not enough relief for oil and no lower taxes. There's growing talk about Canada becoming more competitive like the U.S.

Higher WTI oil? It's a manipulated market; the Saudis are trying to create higher oil prices. The days of $100 are long gone. $60-70 is fine.