WesternZagros Resources Ltd.WZR.VHOLDNov 15, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
Operates in Kurdistan, on the border of Turkey and Iran, not a very great location. The key is that it is a fabulous oil province. There is a lot of resource, a lot of light and heavy oil. On July 5 there is going to be a shareholder vote to accept a takeover from Kreft (?), the majority shareholder. A lot of money is going to have to be spent in the next year or 2. They were trying to do a deal to bring in additional shareholding to help with expenses. They have 2 massive potential discoveries, but the costs and politics is an issue.
Located in Kurdistan. This is probably sitting at its cash value of $0.05-$0.06. Found a lot of oil, but there is a gas cap there, and you have to produce the gas. Not enough revenue coming in to pay the overhead of the government and the salaries of the soldiers. This is a mess. They have a massive reserve, and you are paying nothing for it. As we go along, he thinks the US will want to support Kurdistan, as they are the only ones standing up to take on ISIS. If so, they need revenue and at some point they will bring on these assets again and will grow production over the next few years. For speculative investors, he would say Buy it and Hold it, because the potential is a 10 or 20 bagger.
The big thing for them is that they have GasPromnet as a partner in the Garmian Block and Talisman (TLM-T) in the Kurdamir Block. Both are very good companies. Made some very nice discoveries. Balance sheet is in good shape. As at Dec/14 they had $.38 in cash, so there is almost no risk. The basic problem is, when can they bring on the production. They are going to try to do it this year in the Kurdistan state, but there has been no agreement. This is a political situation that is going to be very difficult to resolve.
Still has a positive view on this company, but realistically at this point, given all that is happening and its location, it is going to be a slow grind higher. Have stabilized some of the cash and immediate needs, but he doesn’t see this as a home run but at the same time, he doesn’t think you have to sell it as the worst is over.
Was a big fan of this 2-3 years ago in the $0.60-$0.70 range, but sold his holdings when it was $1.40-$1.50 because it was getting fully valued. K3 results were a bit disappointing versus what the market was expecting, so the size of the prize was questioned. Also, they weren’t getting any revenues. They are waiting to declare commerciality, which, hopefully, will happen in the next number of months. Once they do this, if there is pipeline capacity for domestic Kurdistan refinery they could probably be selling oil in 2014. There are other producers that will get 1st dibs on the new pipeline that will go through Kurdistan and into Turkey. Great value in the $.60-$.70 range.