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Western DigitalWDCHOLDJun 18, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 16, 2026. Market Open.
Memory/storage is one of the hottest sectors. The best performer Sandisk gained 143%, Seagate 48%, Micron 45% and Western Digital 45%, because of surging demand from data centres, driven by AI. They reported last week a solid beat and excellent guidance. However, once competitors add more capacity, these high share prices may be hard to maintain.
After the spinoff of the flash drive business, this is now a hard drive disk business. Over time, solid-state drives have taken away from hard drive disks in modern computers. That's been a challenge for the storage companies.
But AI has increased need for mass capacity storage at data centres, and those are hard drive disks. Tailwind for WDC. His firm tends to stay away from hardware in general. In AI, there are much cleaner stories with less cyclicality. He can't either recommend or criticize a buy on this one.
China is building out its own technology hardware industry. China was the biggest net importer relative to their needs and will now displace US market share. This is a trade that you buy when it is weak. Don't add fresh money. He would prefer TSM-N.