Western DigitalWDCTOP PICKAug 06, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 07, 2026. Market Open.
Memory/storage is one of the hottest sectors. The best performer Sandisk gained 143%, Seagate 48%, Micron 45% and Western Digital 45%, because of surging demand from data centres, driven by AI. They reported last week a solid beat and excellent guidance. However, once competitors add more capacity, these high share prices may be hard to maintain.
After the spinoff of the flash drive business, this is now a hard drive disk business. Over time, solid-state drives have taken away from hard drive disks in modern computers. That's been a challenge for the storage companies.
But AI has increased need for mass capacity storage at data centres, and those are hard drive disks. Tailwind for WDC. His firm tends to stay away from hardware in general. In AI, there are much cleaner stories with less cyclicality. He can't either recommend or criticize a buy on this one.
When ASML reported its disappointing memory-chip earnings, he sold this one as a result. This business is so very cyclical; once sold off, takes anywhere from 2-6 quarters to come back.
ASML also talked about how China has built out facilities for memory chips. So, another supply of memory chips that will influence cyclicality in the space.
He just bought it after watching it for a while. He also owns Micron which is making new highs today. WDC termindated a merger earlier this year, but they spun off Sandisk which has done well. Also, WDC had been and will restructure their debt. Good. With rates coming down, this sets up WDC to perform well in the future.
The drive to create AI and data centres requires massive memory and data storage -- WDC's wheelhouse. Recently reported earnings showed a 44% increase in revenues and EPS beat analyst expectations. Management expects a similar growth in revenue next quarter. Quarterly cash reserves are growing, while shares are aggressively bought back and debt reduced. It trades at 28x earnings and supports a remarkable 85% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $300, looking to achieve $674 -- upside potential of 45%. Yield 0.1%
(Analysts’ price target is $674.17)