Opinions
Bruce Murray
Transcontinental Inc. (A)
TCL.A-T
WAIT
Sep 18, 2018
$23.770
Stock price when the opinion was issued
publishing
printing
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BUY
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The most recent quarter was a disappointment but the business fundamentals are strong. Debt has been cut in half and cash flow is solid. Relatively cheap to organic growth and dividends. Decent income stock. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
publishing
printing
SELL
On the surface, trades cheaply. Compelling dividend. Problem is sun-setting business in printing, and that cash cow is shrinking faster than growth of other divisions. Earnings peaked in 2018. Era of steady dividend grower is over. Dividend at risk if can't restore profitability. Value trap. Better places to invest.
publishing
printing
SELL
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. We think TCL.A continues to have potential as it transitions its print business into digital media operations and through acquisitions. However, given the lack of growth we have seen over the years and the slow growth expected, we think there are other names today that can pay a similar yield, while showing better growth. This is in part due to the market sell-off, which has resulted in many quality names having higher dividend yields. We view the recent rally in TCL.A shares as an opportunity to sell and raise cash for future opportunities.
publishing
printing
This was historically a printing company that bought up other companies and cut costs by consolidating the business. That game is over now because the newspaper industry has shrunk. They then entered the packaging industries, which was exciting because this put a company with cost-cutting expertise into an industry that still has growth opportunities. They did well for a couple of quarters and then got hit with bad results that have shaken confidence. He thinks it is normal for a few tough quarters after a large acquisition. The price has dropped quite a bit, and it might be a buying opportunity, but he suggests waiting a bit longer to see how well the business is progressing. It would be better to pay another buck or two if the company is doing well than buying now and watching it drop $4 or $5 more if the transition is troubled. He thinks the company is well run and will eventually turn around and be a good investment, but the stock might have to drop farther before that happens. He is looking at this stock to enter, himself. He wants to buy it, but not yet.