Opinions
The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Seagate Technology
STX-Q
TOP PICK
Oct 27, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This solid dividend player is trading at a great PE valuation following its most recent earnings report. Earnings reflected a 10% drop in revenues from a year ago, as HDD was weaker than expected, but was partially offset by its cloud data center demand and video applications. The company stands by its guidance numbers, whose mid-points are above current analyst expectations. Trading at a 10 PE it is great value compared to the sector average PE of 63. It pays a great dividend backed by a 38% payout ratio. We would trade this with a $42 stop-loss, looking for a technical target of $60 -- almost 25% upside. Yield 5.47% (Analysts’ price target is $53.41)
$48.560
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 27/20, Up 114.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with STX continues to make good progress. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $65) to $85. If triggered, this would all but guarantee a minimum investment return of 50%, when considering the previous recommendation to cover half of the holding.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 27/20, Up 75%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with STX has triggered its stop at $85. We recommend covering the balance of the position now. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50%, this will result in a net investment return exceeding 50%.
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BUY
Just bought this for the first time. AI is driving a new refresh cycle in PCs. Also, we haven't upgraded PCs in 4-5 years. Dell just said their PC business was up 3% instead of the expected -2%. HPQ will see growth in the second half of this year, for the first time in 2 years. Also, AMD said last Sunday that their AI PC chips are 5x the speed of existing chips. Seagate leads this sector. Gross margins are poised to go higher. Margins could expand 1,000 basis points year over year. They have pricing power and volumes are rising. She might be early on it, but that's fine.
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