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SoFi TechnologiesSOFIBUY ON WEAKNESSJul 31, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Is a long-time SOFI bull. Shares are +137% in the last 6 months. Still has upside, driven by genuinely great numbers: membership has soared from 5.22 million in 2022 to roughly 12.99 million today while revenue has more than doubled in that time. Also, is enjoying excellent earnings growth, and the company is now profitable. It looks pricey at 81x PE, but is reasonable at 107% earnings growth. SOFI has beaten sales and EBITDA ever since going public in 2021. They keep expanding their banking services until it's become more of a full-service financial institution, trusted by younger customers. Good to buy now after a pullback. Don't expect another rally like this year, but will perform well over 3-5 years.
With a 76% one year gain, it was not overly surprising to see some profit-taking. The quarter was solid as was the outlook and commentary. There was record member growth and loan originations. New products/services add more potential. We think it is buyable and are warming up to this name.
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We have done more work on its ability to compete in a crowded market and are more comfortable there. The recent results and the stock momentum have also certainly been big positive factors. It has good potential, we think, if it can continue to execute. One minor concern: it is a very very popular social media stock. While still relatively small, it is hardly unknown. This is not necessarily bad but can increase volatility if the majority of holders are trading/retail.
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SOFI generated positive EPS of 1c beating analysts estimates that the company would breakeven for the quarter, and improving from a 6c loss in the year prior. Total revenue also beat estimates of $564.39M coming in at $598.62M displaying a 20% year-over-year increase. The company also increased guidance for 2024 expecting EPS between 9c-10c, ahead of estimates of 8c. Q3 guidance was also 1c greater than analyst estimates of 3c. Management expects to add 2.3 million new memebers in 2024, dispakyin 30% growth. This looks to be a solid quarter for SOFI, beating estimates and upping guidance but the market reaction has been muted.
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