Stock price when the opinion was issued
SOFI has had several pieces of good news recently, and is now up on the year (slightly) after being down significantly. It is up 75% from its August low. The momentum shift is impressive, and EPS is expected to more than double next year. If it can execute, the mid-cap stock could get more attention. Estimates have been ticking up, and the last quarter nicely beat estimates. We would be OK taking an initial position in the $9.75 range.
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We have done more work on its ability to compete in a crowded market and are more comfortable there. The recent results and the stock momentum have also certainly been big positive factors. It has good potential, we think, if it can continue to execute. One minor concern: it is a very very popular social media stock. While still relatively small, it is hardly unknown. This is not necessarily bad but can increase volatility if the majority of holders are trading/retail.
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With a 76% one year gain, it was not overly surprising to see some profit-taking. The quarter was solid as was the outlook and commentary. There was record member growth and loan originations. New products/services add more potential. We think it is buyable and are warming up to this name.
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Is up 79% in the past year. Sell half, take profits.