SnowflakeSNOWHOLDMay 24, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 07, 2026. Market Open.
(The theme of today's Top Picks is cybersecurity, which is going to be a big deal. All the AI systems will have to be made more secure. Each of today's picks has already had a good run.)
Security for the cloud as customers build, use, and share data there. A bit pricey. Don't buy it all today, you have to tier in your position by thirds. Buy a bit here, more at $250, and finally around $240. His 12-month price target is $294. No dividend.
Enables organizations to consolidate data into a single source, and allows other applications to work better together. Short runway to price target. Next earnings not until August 26. Sell some calls; if you don't want to get called away, just roll the strike price up.
Nice moat, not a heck of a lot of competition. Makes so much sense, enterprise (not consumer) software. But the nosebleed territory causes some angst.
Key player within cloud and data centres. Cloud-based data storage with analytic solutions on top. Like a DDOG, but allows companies to manoeuvre more efficiently through the cloud. Owns it, but it's rich. His price target is ~$260-270.
He'd buy in around $246 and definitely just in front of $231-233. Your final third would be ~$215-220, at which point he'd absolutely recommend.
EPS of 14c missed estimates of 19c; sales of $828M beat estimates of $786M. Snowflake's product-sales growth of 34% was above consensus, yet its full-year view appears conservative. Top-line acceleration in 2H hinges on the successful deployment of its own large language model, Arctic, which is much smaller than other foundational models. Competition from hyperscale-cloud providers that bundled their LLM-based analytics offerings could pressure Snowflake's pricing in the near term. The product gross-margin view downgrade by about 100 bps to 75% for the full year was driven by higher GPU-related costs. A net expansion rate of 128% in fiscal 1Q25 reflects a slowdown in the consumption of credits by its existing customer base. Remaining-performance obligation gains improved slightly to 46% as Snowflake continues to do well with renewals at large enterprise customers. Yesterday was a very strange market day, and we would not take cues from the trading on Thursday.
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