Rayonier Inc.RYNTOP PICKFeb 05, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
Lumber and forest products company. Large company had a nice consolidation for 10 months. He is seeing a momentum breakout now. It is just starting to break out so he sees potential and is planning a buying program for this. If the stock drops, he will begin reducing at $33 and be out at $31. At the upside, he thinks the stock can go to $40. (Analysts’ price target is 32.00$)
Have 3 businesses, timber land, real estate and performance pulp. Competitors have dumped pulp on to the market to compete with the specialty fibres that they make. These fibres go into cigarette filters and diapers. Drop in the stock price was really a reflection that this dumping probably will persist for the next 3 years or so. They still have their timberland REIT, which is buying land in New Zealand. Product is shipped directly to China. He is going to Hold because they have been able to execute very well with what they are doing. Timberland situation is not correlated to stocks or bonds and he doesn’t mind bad news in the short term, which will ultimately be better news down the road. 4.3% dividend yield.
We reiterate RYN, a New Zealand based timber REIT with land holdings in the US, as a TOP PICK. The company announced a "merger of equals" with a US based timber company, which will all the new entity to hold 4 million acres in the US. It trades at 1.5x book and boasts annual EPS growth exceeding 30% over the past five years. The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We like that cash reserves are growing, while debt is reduced and shares bought back. We recommend maintaining the stop at $20, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential of 18%.
(Analysts’ price target is $26.67)