Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)Rayonier Inc.RYNTOP PICKFeb 05, 2026

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate RYN, a New Zealand based timber REIT with land holdings in the US, as a TOP PICK.  The company announced a "merger of equals" with a US based timber company, which will all the new entity to hold 4 million acres in the US.  It trades at 1.5x book and boasts annual EPS growth exceeding 30% over the past five years.  The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow.  We like that cash reserves are growing, while debt is reduced and shares bought back.  We recommend maintaining the stop at $20, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential of 18%.  

(Analysts’ price target is $26.67)
$22.51

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$20.89

As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.

misc industrial products
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 05/26, Down 8.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with RYN has triggered its stop at $20.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this New Zealand based REIT holding US lumber as a TOP PICK.  Recently reported earnings showed growing cash reserves after retiring debt and buying back shares with $230 million in free cash flow to spare.  The company announced a special dividend of 6.5%, which was paid to holders earlier this month.  It trades at 9x earnings, 1.5x book and supports a 38% ROE.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $18) to $20, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential of 22%.  Yield 4.8%

(Analysts’ price target is $27.83)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

RYN is a REIT setup to manage timber holdings in the US to support logging for New Zealand.  Recently reported earnings showed a doubling in earnings over the year allowing cash reserves to grow while shares were bought back.  It trades at 9x earnings, 1.5x book and supports a 38% ROE.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $18, looking to achieve $28 -- upside potential of 28%.  Yield 3.6%  

(Analysts’ price target is $28.83)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 13/18, Down 15%) Doesn't look bad now. Sell below $28. It could hit $31 and has been enjoying an uptrend. He likes this sector.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick March 13/18 Down 3%) It came within $0.30 of his $40 target. A 50 day moving average appears as a great trailing stop. Today he would hold, but wants to see it support a $34 stop.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Past Top Pick on March 13, 2018, Up 2%) Wish he had bought it. It's definitely rising against the grain of the market. He'll buy it this week.

TOP PICK

Lumber and forest products company. Large company had a nice consolidation for 10 months. He is seeing a momentum breakout now. It is just starting to break out so he sees potential and is planning a buying program for this. If the stock drops, he will begin reducing at $33 and be out at $31. At the upside, he thinks the stock can go to $40. (Analysts’ price target is 32.00$)

COMMENT

This is more into specialty fibres. Has lowered his target price from $52 to $37 because of a tax-free spin out of a division. Had a decent run over the last 3-4 years. Because of its REIT structure, it can be volatile.

COMMENT

Have 3 businesses, timber land, real estate and performance pulp. Competitors have dumped pulp on to the market to compete with the specialty fibres that they make. These fibres go into cigarette filters and diapers. Drop in the stock price was really a reflection that this dumping probably will persist for the next 3 years or so. They still have their timberland REIT, which is buying land in New Zealand. Product is shipped directly to China. He is going to Hold because they have been able to execute very well with what they are doing. Timberland situation is not correlated to stocks or bonds and he doesn’t mind bad news in the short term, which will ultimately be better news down the road. 4.3% dividend yield.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 17’08. Up 16%) Dividend is safe. Inflation hedge. High performance fibers that going to diapers has continued to rise. Earnings fairly flat, but margins up.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 16/07. Up 18%.) Timberland REIT. If you can’t get prices for real estate or timber, you just let the trees grow. 5% dividend.
HOLD
Haven’t really taken the sub-prime blow up on the chin. Unlike most forest related companies. Non-correlation to the stock/bond market. If lumber prices are high they’ll cut more trees, if low they’ll let them grow.
TOP PICK
Owns timberland, so they suffered a little bit because of a slowdown in the real estate development, but then they just let the trees grow. If lumber prices ever come back, they can make money on that side. Also makes specialty fibres. Yielding about 5%.
TOP PICK
Owns timberland and involved in specialty fibres. Timber has very little correlation with commodity markets. Without harvesting, it continues to grow. Good for long-term holding. 5% yield.