Bryn Talkington Roblox Corporation RBLX-N BUY Feb 10, 2023

EPS of -48c was worse than -45c expected; sales were $899M, 2.7% better than expected. 
EBITDA of $183M was 88% better than expected. 
Roblox's inflection in bookings growth, driven by an expanding user base and increased engagement, bodes well for its sales, with the company lapping tough Covid-19 year over year comparisons. 
User gains continue to be aided by content advantage, which seems to be driven by enlargement beyond its core 9-13 year old user group as well as geographic expansion outside the US. 
The company may see positive revisions for its Ebitda and free cash flow amid an acceleration in the top line through 2023, though higher developer fees aimed at boosting content could be an offsetting factor. 
Bookings growth advanced to 22-24%, while hours engaged and daily active users both rose 19% in January, helping drive the number of unique payers on its platform. 
These were surprisingly decent results, with investors focused more on EBITDA and bookings than the earnings miss. 
The 8% short interest is likely covering some today, and we are seeing a fairly big shift in sentiment towards last year's losers right now.  
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Is down 30% this year.  But last quarter, revenue was up 15%, bookings 15%, and average daily user use 25%. But this won't perform until they increase earnings, which she doesn't expect.

Upgraded today. If rates settle, this can hit $37. Don't add until Nov. 8 earnings, but bookings and daily active users are growing 25% YOY. A great long-term platform. May add share after earnings.

Their last quarter was the first good one in a while, and the CEO is good. Don't sell it.

RBLX is up 42% this year and will probably do well if rates pivot and the market turns back into a 'risk on' mode. It has about $500M net cash ($2.1B cash, $1.6B debt), and does have positive cash flow ($434M in the trailing 12 months, $369M in 2022). Sales are expected to show 50% growth this year and at least 15% in 2024 and 2025. It is still losing money but per share losses are expected to decline ($1.88 this year, then $1.32, $1.11). Insiders own 3.5% and have been minor net sellers in the past six months. We would, today, rate it a HOLD.
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RBLX is up 42% this year and will probably do well if rates pivot and the market turns back into a 'risk on' mode. It has about $500M net cash ($2.1B cash, $1.6B debt), and does have positive cash flow ($434M in the trailing 12 months, $369M in 2022). Sales are expected to show 50% growth this year and at least 15% in 2024 and 2025. It is still losing money but per share losses are expected to decline ($1.88 this year, then $1.32, $1.11). Insiders own 3.5% and have been minor net sellers in the past six months. We would, today, rate it a HOLD.
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Shares keeping going up and up, but can't recommend it now. The last quarter was pretty good.

Just issue strong guidance. Daily active users, revenues, hours engaged were all up sharply. Japan and India show strong growth. Using AI you can speak to other users in other languages. Positive earnings remain a year away, but she likes this company.

Was downgraded to sell today, but the $34 sell target is very off. The CEO continues to defy the naysayers. Are positioned between gaming and Mr. Beast, the NFL, NBA--an interesting eco-system where they build games that get interest today. Japan's business is growing well.

Daily active users is up 26% YOY. Excellent growth in users and AUM. Is up 29% this month, so careful chasing it.