Pengrowth EnergyPGF.TOCOMMENTJan 21, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 09, 2020. Market Open.
The stock has bounced because of the higher oil price. It has sold assets to bring down debt, but debt is $600 million compared to an equity base of $1 billion, so it is still a bit high. At this point, they don’t have any key assets for sale. Their low production is 19,000 boe/day, which is this quarter. They will bring on more wells to bring production to 23,000 boe/day by the end of the year. Cash flow will be about $0.20 per year. His target for this year is $2 and $4.50 for the next 3-to-5 years. The company has a new CEO, with relevant (thermal oil) experience.
Had this is a Top Pick Nov 6/12 on the assumption they would have asset sales, which they have done to a certain extent, and the debt to cash flow would go lower and effective payout ratio would go lower. Did the sales but debt to cash flow still stayed high at 3.1 and their effective payout ratio is about 160. Likes the company's strategy and what they are trying to accomplish. Growth he is looking for doesn’t come until 2015 and they have to navigate there with their debt. Will probably have to do more asset sales. Not for the faint of heart.