Opinions
Hugh Cleland, CFA
Pacific Energy Resources Ltd.
PFE-T
BUY
Mar 31, 2008
It became a victim of the credit crunch. Had great catalysts recently, they’re announced they have regulatory permission to go into production offshore of California. Will be the turning point for the stock. Target of over $6.
$1.500
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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STRONG BUY
Long-term case for this stock is really good. Three plays going on. 1) California/offshore California, 2) Wyoming deep gas and 3) Alaska. The California offshore alone is worth the entire company today. Wyoming is potentially worth a huge amount but a very risky exploration. Alaska, a neglected asset that has a lot of upside. Recent financing was done at $2.20 a share.
oil
gas
BUY
Still a favourite stock with his company. There was some frustration as they were unable to get a refinancing of some debt but is being financed by warrants from existing holders. The shut-in production should be coming on and will be at 30,000 barrels a day in 2 years. Assets in Alaska, California offshore and Rocky Mountain. At this point, all you are paying for are the California offshore assets.
oil
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BUY
Probably worth $9-$10 a share. Made a very big acquisition of Alaskan assets last spring, primarily debt financed. At the time oil was trading at about $65 a barrel but with the present price they could sell these assets for over $100 million more than they paid. Have a bridge coming due in 2009 but 1) have an extremely increasing cash flow 2) have assets they could sell off 3) and could have a debt refinancing once the market settles down again.
oil
gas
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