Opinions Mark Grammer
NokiaNOKDON'T BUYApr 09, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
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They once dominated cell phones, then left for dead a long time ago. But NOK has tripled in the past year, because it's become an AI infrastructure story. NOK's hardware allows data centres to move data around networks quickly with low latency. Last October, Nvidia partnered with Nokia to build commercial-grade, AI radio-access networks and will invest $1 billion in Nokia. NOK is up 165% in 6 months. NOK can make every cell tower into a distributed AI node. NOK's AI and cloud net sales in Q1 were up 49% and booked 1 billion euros of AI and cloud orders. Cash flows and revenues are strong. The new CEO is another positive. They target annual comparable operating profit from 2 billion euros in 2025 to 2.7-3.2 billion by 2028. Problem is, he's late to the game and the stock is already up and has an Nvidia halo. Because NOK is tied to AI sentiment, NOK has to deliver. Also, the legacy telco business remains a big part of their business. Telcos are a choppy business. You could buy a small position or wait for a pullback.
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Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported 0.06 USD per share, beating the 0.04 USD estimate by 32.96%. Revenue for the same period reached 5.27 B USD, despite the estimate of 5.33 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 0.06 USD in earnings per share and 5.60 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 819% in the past 24h.
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Recently got approval from the Chinese government for the sale of their handset division to Microsoft (MSFT-Q). A company like this is not in his sweet spot. It’s a Value play. If you are a Value investor, you do a much different kind of analysis than he would do. For a growth investor like himself, he would be looking at the income statement rather them the balance sheet and he doesn’t see a lot of potential on the income side of things. They are in a very competitive market.