Stock price when the opinion was issued
For individuals that want a decent dividend with a slight growth profile and at a discount. Very strong balance sheet; owns 90% of its real estate. They could list their real estate assets out into a REIT, which would be highly accretive. Have some new store formats on the fresh food front that is growing. 4.24% yield.
The catalyst here is that it pays an attractive dividend, is vertically integrated and has a good balance sheet. They are going to monetize some of their real estate portfolio. A gradual monetization of that up to about 70% could realize up to $2 billion worth of capital, return to shareholders in either the form of a special dividend, a dividend increase or share buyback. Very good management team.
Basically the discounters have really disrupted the food retail market in the UK so effectively margins have been compressed. This is a good story with a very strong balance sheet. Dividend is safe. They were just getting ready to issue £2 billion of buybacks and dividend increases when this occurred. If you have longer-term money, this is a good value at around £1.90. Dividend is safe.
(A Top Pick Oct 24/13. Down 38.74%.) He put this on the books because it had a certain amount of stability. The real estate on the books was substantially larger than the debt outstanding so he figured there would be a fair downside protection. Introduction of discount retailers from Europe aggressively changed the margin aspect. Sold his holdings. Still has a strong balance sheet and he feels the dividend is safe. Actually feels this is a buy at these levels.
(Top Pick Feb 13/13, Down 4.54%) He likes the real estate in this one. The market is disappointed that they have not done the real estate refinancing. Could be a once time dividend or share buyback. It’s on sale.