Marvell Technology GroupMRVLTOP PICKAug 13, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 06, 2026. Market Open.
They will buy Lumentum in a monster $115 billion deal. But it could take 18 months to complete. You could sell MRVL now and buy it back later, but the company could double in value in the long haul. The combined company represents the future of the data centre, but the sell off is by investors who can't wait for the deal to close.
He wouldn't be surprised if they announced on Monday a deal to buy Lumentum, which would be one of the largest tech deals ever. MRVL shares have been higher since the CEO held an analysts' meeting on Oct. 6 to announce plans to dominate the fibre (optic) portion of the data centre, with fibre inevitably replacing copper.
Still owns it. Be careful which tech stocks you own now--some are slumping, some not. Marvell has $10 of earnings power by 2027. NVDA invested in them. Their optical business is poised to grow 50% the next few years. Their custom ASIC business-- they have an 80% market share with Broadcom--is expected to grow from 20% to 100% share. Is up 218% this year and trades at 27x, not cheap, but it is growing.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
We reiterate MRVL, a play on data center growth, as a TOP PICK. Microsoft is rumoured to include the company's semiconductor technology in their next big AI rollout. It currently shows strong cash flows and rising cash reserves - albeit with rising debt and shares. We continue to recommend a stop at $170, looking to achieve $272 -- upside potential of 26%. Yield 0.1%
(Analysts’ price target is $268.57)