Keith Richards
Marvell Technology Group
MRVL-Q
WATCH
Nov 22, 2019
Back in early 2018 it had a consolidation that eventually broke down in late 2018. He thinks it is again consolidating, but it is still making higher highs. He would like to see it stay above the second last high. He would watch this for a while.
As with other semiconductors, has really tumbled in last few months. Possibility of a bounce here. Old resistance was $75, and would look pretty good if it can break through that. So watch for that $75; if it breaks through and particularly with volumes picking up, that would be encouraging.
Is in the middle of an historic decline, despite its earnings having an historic advance. It's been punished enough. Buy a quarter position here and another at $50. The CEO bought a ton of stock.
A year ago, everyone was trying to find the next best thing to NVDA. System-on-a-chip puts chips out closer to the data, a nice niche. 12-month price target of $112.50, great runway.
Semiconductors, broadly, have become like shooting fish in a barrel since ChapGPT made its debut in late 2022. All are pretty cyclical. Likes others better, such as NVDA and AVGO.
Interesting company. Big issue on semi demand is really the Chip Act, how it applies to China, and what it does to demand for everyone else. China will be looking to increase market share. You want bigger and better, so he'd probably rather own AVGO.
He targets $108. They just beat top and bottom lines and raised guidance. They delivered record Q1 revenue, a 63% pop YOY. Are running on all cylinders. Strong momentum.
Doesn't own because of the cyclical industry. If you get the timing right, can do very well. He likes companies with an economic moat such as TSM, and he's considering ASML.