Opinions
Sarat Sethi, Managing Partner, Douglas C. Lane & Assoc.
Martin Marietta Materials
MLM-N
BUY
Mar 19, 2025
$490.200
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Think crushed stone, concrete, etc being supplied to the construction industry. They are #1 or #2 in the aggregate supplier space. The industry is favored going forward and there are barriers to entry. This gives the company strong pricing power. Infrastructure spending should provide great tail winds and the company does well to extract value from acquisitions. Yield 0.59% (Analysts’ price target is $435.86)
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Inflation-protection trades: energy (and materials). Both cyclical sectors are positively correlated to inflation. She also likes Martin Marietta given its heavy business in residential and non-res construction and a tailwind from Dems and Republicans to fix bridges and ports during supply-chain issues. Financials: JPM she likes, though they had a disappointing recent earnings, they do have a multi-faceted business. For more cyclicals, consider EM, namely IEMG.
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Infrastructure Bill of late 2021 money is only trickling out now
Shares fell in 2022 by 23% due to recession fears, but is up 30% this year because they money is finally coming. The CEO sees 3-4 years of business. Trades at 24x forward PE, but expects that to decline because they keep beating their quarters.
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They have long-term construction contracts, making them serial compounders over time.