Keith Richards Meta Platforms, Inc. META-Q TOP PICK Dec 20, 2024

Their earnings growth + PE was the most reasonable last year and entering this. Earnings continue to grow and are controlling spending. Is the best of the Mag 7.

Of the Mag 7, he likes this, but it's tough to buy at currently high levels. For an options trade: sell that $650 put (almost 10% downside) into May, then collect $21.50, which is a large premium, but huge downside protection.

It continues its record rally today. Last night, they increased their dividend by 5%. It's the cheapest Mag 7 in PE and have delivered strong. They've bought back $44 billion of shares in the past year. Massive free cash flow. He hopes there's a stock split.

Generally, big tech are good companies, but have lost ground recently and their valuations have been nosebleeds for a long time. Meta is basically Facebook; he can message his mother in New Zealand cheaply, but fundamentally what will it do for him? Is it a sustainable business model. It's too early to say which of these names is a buy the dip, buy you could trim or take some names off the table.

Shares are washed out from this correction.

Trades around 23x PE with a strong growth rate. One in two humans interact with a Meta product everyday. An excellent place to be.

He likes Meta here, is fairly priced, despite the overall selling in tech in recent weeks. 

The stock has made a bit of a 'round trip' from its recent highs but considering its strength, market share, financial position and growth, at 23X earnings (with $77B cash) we think it is buyable for investors who can look beyond the current market volatility (which will end, one day). 
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It's a pure ad play and ads struggle in a slowdown. He worries about its AI platform--others are better.

It appears to have little exposure to tariffs, because they sell advertising, but this could be a target of EU tariff retaliation or if the trade war leads to recession. Is -30% from highs, and these fears are baked into the stock. Trades under only 20x PE.