Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad Money Lumen Technologies Inc LUMN-N DON'T BUY Sep 04, 2024

Doesn't trust it because of its parabolic moves.

$5.380

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY
On a private-market value, this should be up dramatically, maybe twice at trading levels. It pays a near-10% dividend yield which is sustainable.
DON'T BUY
The stock has fallen apart. There are too many of this digital solutions for business and home companies.
BUY
Trades at a huge discount to their private market value. They reported yesterday which were totally fine. Pays a 9% dividend.
DON'T BUY
Lots of debt. Skinny balance sheet. Be careful. Revenues steadily declining. Rising interest rates is the worst thing that can happen to them. Well diversified, but not in high-growth industries. Despite new management, stay away, too risky. Yield is 12.5%.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With the blow down in share prices that resulted after halting the dividend, LUMN valuation is excellent at this level as it trades at 3x earnings. The company provides all things internet over a 400,000 fibre optic miles network in 60 countries. It recently announced a $1.5 billion contract with the US Dep. of Defense for security in the Asia-Pacific region. It has retired a massive amount of debt. We recommend a stop-loss at $3.65, looking to achieve $7.25 -- upside over 33%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $7.14)
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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 29/22, Down 31.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with LUMN has triggered its stop at $3.65.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

DON'T BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

LUMN is down 79% year-to-date and it recently missed its earnings by a wide margin. The company's sales declined year-over-year by 17%, but its operating expenses also rose 14%, causing significant margin contraction. Its operating expenses last year benefited from the sale of its business, and its interest expenses remain high, at $295M in the recent quarter. It has reduced its debt significantly over the past several years, but it remains high at a net debt of ~$20B, and a net debt/EBITDA of 4.0X. Its interest coverage ratio has been materially contracting, now at 1.4X, and it's selling assets and business segments to reduce its debt burden. A bad mix of declining sales, flat to contracting margins, and sales of some of its business units to reduce a debt/equity ratio of 9.0X is likely to negatively impact this name for some time. We do not expect a recovery in this name unless sales can recover, however, it seems the company is focused on restructuring rather than growing.
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DON'T BUY

Is sliding, but it should never have gone up as much as it did--and will continue to.