Opinions
Gordon Reid
Lennar Corp.
LEN-N
DON'T BUY
May 13, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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They report Monday. Housing the linchpin of the economy and prices keep climbing. We need to hear if they will build more homes or keep the supply so tight that housing prices won't come down. The buildings are limiting supply to keep gross margins up and prices up, but it's terrible to fight inflation. Housing stocks have hung up because we have a housing shortage, but how long can this last when we see pushback on the prices of other items like dining out, apparel and airline tickets, all of which have risen dramatically in the last 5 years.
Our PAST TOP PICK with LEN has triggered its stop at $149. To remain disciplined we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 2%, when combined with our previous buy recommendations.
Still holds. Last month brutal for homebuilders. Though interest rates drifting lower, clear that won't be going as low or as fast as the market first thought. So the interest-sensitives are being punished. Yet mortgages are going up, somewhat negative for homebuilders.
Long US mortgages cause resale market to dry up, but will eventually force home buyers to homebuilders. He's looking closely to see if this is an opportunity to increase his holding in homebuilders.
Lennar Corp. engages in the provision of real estate related financial and investment management services. It operates through the following segments: Homebuilding, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar Other. The Homebuilding segment refers to the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes and the purchase, development, and sale of residential land directly and through entities. The Financial Services segment focuses on mortgage financing, title, and closing services for buyers. Social media mentions are up 1467% in the past 24h.
Sold it for Canadian tax reasons. LEN spun off the part of the company that held the land, probably a good move, but he wasn't sure about the tax hit. He still likes the US homebuilders given the shortage of housing.