Stockchase Opinions

Eric Nuttall Kelt Exploration KEL-T PAST TOP PICK May 28, 2021

(A Top Pick Jun 19/20, Up 95%) Got penalized from their sale of an asset. However, now it is a debt free company and pursuing another area. Does not fit the free cashflow narrative, but it is inexpensive on cashflow. 3.3x multiple at $70 oil.
$3.080

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
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DON'T BUY
Not a holding now. They paid off all their debt by selling some assets. They are at a net cash position. In the short term there is no reason to own the stock due to lack of catalyst.
DON'T BUY
They sold major assets mid-last year at a decent price (though lower than they would now), so they're sitting on net cash now. Their drilling program runs until Q3 he thinks. There are better oil stocks with more upside.
BUY
Has always been an aggregator of plays and then sells them. Just sold their anchor property. Currently developing their Oak property to sell in the future. They have good liquids exposure. Trades at a modest premium with 3.6x enterprise value to cashflow next year at $60 oil. A very unique story. Buying for the potential value of their future plays. Good candidate for the ESG movement.
BUY
He's ashamed to say he's owned this for a long time. He believes in management which owns a lot of shares. They allocate capital well. They find hydrocarbons and have a great track record selling those. A year and a half ago they sold half their production for more than the enterprise value of the whole company. They now have a great balance sheet and are growing their production in nat gas (in NE B.C.).
BUY
Management owns a large component of the company. Exposure to nat gas, with the current pricing very attractive.
COMMENT
Difficult to measure their new strategy. They have done great in the past, but this does not fit what he is trying to accomplish right now.
BUY
Well run. Their theme is acquire land, develop it, drill it as efficiently as possible to bring up cashflow to realize NAV, sell it when it's de-risked. Management owns about 20% of it. Continues to like it, especially if you want a Canadian gas name.
BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

KEL has strong drilling activity and currently no debt.
We have KEL in the growth model portfolio, and we like it for its diversification benefits, being in the oil and gas sector.
It is a strong name with a good balance sheet and healthy profit margins.
It trades at a 1.0X price to book, and a 7.5X forward P/E.
KEL does not pay a dividend.
KEL is a good name for strong consistency, low debt levels, and a strong balance sheet. 
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BUY

Has deep assets, which they won't sell for 9-12 months, as they add others. He can't own every midcap, though this is good.