Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase Insights Keg Royalties Income Fund KEG.UN-T BUY Mar 19, 2025

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN) is a $240M fund that invests in the Keg Rights Limited Partnership in connection with the operation and franchising of Keg steakhouse restaurants. It has a distribution yield of around 8%. Sales growth has mostly been flat over the past several years, cash from operations has shown a steady growth rate, but still quite modest. It pays around $14M each year in distributions, and its free cash flows have been around $28M. We would consider the distributions sustainable, and while its unit price has declined, its total return CAGR over the past 20 years is 8%. 
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TOP PICK
Thinks this will go up to $10 and hang out there for a while. Use a stoploss of $8.50. Good yield.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 13/09. Up 30% excluding distributions.) Will probably take a little pause but he can see another $1-$2 in it plus distributions of 10.56%. His exit price would be $11.50.
COMMENT

This is a good business and the royalty structure is a good structure. This is sort of a beneficial thing to put in something that doesn’t attract full taxation. These are good retail holdings.

HOLD

Not widely followed and not very liquid. Overall this is a decent story. You would have to evaluate some of the story to Alberta and whether that is significant. A lot of these restaurant royalty funds have done quite well, because the consumer has proven that they are overspending like a drunken sailor on a shore leave.

HOLD

It has been very well managed and has been one of the better performers. He is staying away from restaurants as they are expensive and have very little growth. This is one of the better ones, however. If you are happy with the dividend then hold on to it.

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

This Vancouver based restaurant royalty has emerged thriving following the pandemic shut-downs.  The company is prudently managing cash reserves to retire debt and support a strong dividend.  Latest reported earnings showed a 14% increase in sales for the year to date.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $11.75, looking to achieve $16 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 8.4%

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 19/23, Up 10.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with KEG.UN is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $11.75) to $13.50 at this time. 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

With an ROE of 24% and a solid dividend that is supported by cash reserves, we reiterate KEG.UN as a TOP PICK.  A steady performing income fund that returns its cash as a dividend.  We continue to recommend a stop at $13.50, looking to achieve $17.00 -- upside potential of 17%.  Yield 7.8%

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 18/24, Down 6.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with KEG.UN has triggered its stop at $13.50.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 3%, when combined with our previous recommendations.