The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) Kellog K-N BUY ON WEAKNESS Jul 30, 2020

Stockchase Editor: Michael O'Reilly Looking for yield can be challenging, but K is a company that is proving its worth during the pandemic. An obvious household name, it often gets over looked, but it is proving to be a survivor. The company just upgraded its annual sales and profit guidance for the year as organic net sales are up 9% on the quarter. EPS beat analyst expectations by 32%. We like the dividend and feel it is secure. We would look to enter on a pullback near $67 and use $62 as a stop loss. Yield 3.21%

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Plunged 29% this past week. Packaged food stocks have been hammered in this market. Cereal is not a growth business, but snacks are. Before the recent spin off, K saw 80% of sales from snacks like Pringles. So Kellogg's spun off cereals into a separate company. From 2019-22, snacks saw nearly 9% annual organic compound revenue growth (vs. cereal below 1%). But snacking has slowed. K forecasts only 3% revenue growth full year, much lower than 12 months ago. Then, these new weight-loss drugs will likely reduce craving for snacks. The street fears cash-flow problems and predicts more borrowing. So, he prefers Kellanova for its snacks over KLG (cereals), but wouldn't buy either.

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Driven by the legacy of our innovative founder, w.k. kellogg, the kellogg company is the world’s leading producer of cereal, and a leader in cookies, crackers, and savory snacks production. every day, our well-loved brands, delight families in more than 180 countries. with annual sales of more than $14 billion, our brands include cheez-it®, coco pops®, corn flakes®, eggo®, frosted flakes®, keebler®, kellogg’s®, mini-wheats®, pop-tarts®, pringles®, rice krispies®, special k®, and many more. Social media mentions are up 300% in the past 24h.

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