Stock price when the opinion was issued
Basic premise is that Canadian oil companies have unbelievable assets. Well north of 20% dividend growth. Great cashflow and shareholder returns. Oil's just broken a triple top on a point-and-figure chart, and these companies look as though they're about to reaccelerate.
He'd buy this one, and he'd buy CNQ.
Oil & gas sector has been consolidating. This name is breaking out to new highs, and that's a great tell. 25 years of reserve life. Three separate issuer bids, with another right now. Very high quality. If the commodity cycle goes on, energy will likely participate. These stocks should normally be weak this time of year, but they're making new highs instead; tells you there's lots of upside. His call is for longer-term higher oil prices.
Great company to protect your purchasing power. 30 years of consecutive dividend increases. Yield is 2.55%, with compound annual growth rate of 22% over last 5 years.
A very smart business friend of his told him: "When you buy a natural resource company, you're buying an option on what they have in the ground. You don't know when a commodity bull market will come, but you know there will be one, and you need to know they'll be there when it happens."
Third-lowest-cost major oil producer, and the lowest within Canada. Efficient. Long-life reserves of 25 years. Paying down debt to a level where all cashflow will be returned to shareholders. Dividend grows over 20% a year, which is what you want with a rising cost of living. Find him another oil company that's performed like this in a tough environment.
Often overlooked as people focus on SU and CNQ. He doesn't own energy names right now, due to weakness in the oil patch and crude oil prices. Concerns of global slowdown. Chart looks more attractive than many other energy names. Price has moved up since April lows, 200-day MA has been pretty steady. Decent dividend of ~2.4%, looks fairly solid.
Difficult time, as a lot of people lost their jobs in Calgary. Others were told they can keep their jobs if they move to Edmonton. Tricky for those people.
Oil prices have been weakening over last 2 weeks, and it's affecting everybody. Stock price has more to do with that than with layoffs and restructuring. Leader among the large caps over last year, and that continues. Long term, a great asset. Balance sheet now where they want it. Oil being where it is, can't expect near-term dividend increase. But it will once prices stabilize. Has grown dividend over 20% a year over last 5 years.
$118 is very near-term for a stop (he understands why it was chosen, as that was the most recent low). Give it a wider berth, given the time of year. A logical place would be $114. Structural long-term chart is very bullish. Trades at a premium, but well deserved.
One of these stocks that if somebody owns it makes you wonder if they bought it in the first place to hold it or to trade. He likes to stress game plans.