Stock price when the opinion was issued
Great exposure to the WCS-WTI gap shrinking this year as the Transmountain becomes fully operational later this year. The 6% dividend will grow 10-15% this year, and they plan to grow overall by 50% over 2023. Strong cash flow as they expand. Interesting exploration plans. Fantastic results.
(Analysts’ price target is $8.88)
We reiterate HWX as a TOP PICK. Management reports production remains on target for annualized production of 20,000 boe/d for 2024 and capital has been allocated on several projects for the balance of the year. It trades at 11x earnings and supports a 27% ROE. Its dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 65% of cash flow, which still allows quarterly cash flow to grow. We recommend trailing up the stop from $6.25 to $7.00, looking to achieve $9.00 -- upside potential of 20%. Yield 5.4%
(Analysts’ price target is $9.32)