Eric Nuttall Headwater Exploration Inc. HWX-T BUY Sep 29, 2023

Great exposure to the WCS-WTI gap shrinking this year as the Transmountain becomes fully operational later this year. The 6% dividend will grow 10-15% this year, and they plan to grow overall by 50% over 2023. Strong cash flow as they expand. Interesting exploration plans. Fantastic results.

Checks the boxes: quality management, strong balance sheet and have decent inventories.

Large selloff recently after a momentum frenzy in the sector, he added. Now about a 5.5% weight for him. Targets $11 price, 51% upside. Yield is 5.5%, which will grow over time.

Great little small-cap name. Ongoing exploration success. A lot more running room. Should be trading at 70-80% upside from here. Yield is 6%.

Very well-run mid-cap, yielding 7.5%. Other stocks may have better valuations, but HWX has done a great job in the Clearwater, but prefers Tamarack. They have several successful explorations to expand their assets. This offers modest production growth and a juicy yield. He targets $9.

Small-cap yielding 8%, sustainable in low $50s. Wouldn't be surprised if it dialed back capex, which makes the dividend even more sustainable. Almost a pure play to Clearwater, an exceptional resource. Owns in his income fund, on his list to add to the main fund. Inexpensive. Respected management.

A high-quality small-cap. They've had good success with water floods. They pay a sustainable 7% dividend yield. You're paid to wait. Overall, he's neutral to bearish on oil for 9 months. The market needs to absorb the OPEC supply. HWX is debt-free.