Opinions
Stockchase Insights
Robinhood
HOOD-Q
PARTIAL BUY
Jun 07, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Bottom line on momentum is not to fight it; just go with it, baby. That's the case here. You don't have to understand it. Move this year is parabolic. Though he can't see the momentum indicators such as MACD or RSI, the 1-year chart shows a bit of rounding. Could be just consolidating, but you don't want to see it break. If some of the momentum indicators start rolling over before the stock breaks down, that's a warning sign.
His videos talk about signs to spot a potential top.
Now a "mature" meme stock. Investors like it. He doesn't like that it's gone parabolic -- now what do you do? He has no idea where it goes from today.
If you own it and it's up so much in less than a year, perhaps sell some. At least put on a stop loss. Chart shows a peak from 2021 repeated in 2025 before it took off, just below $60, so this is a natural place for it to gravitate to.
HOOD was largely written off following its IPO and subsequent flame-out, but has started to put things together nicely now. It has been losing money but will be profitable this year (53c per share), with 56c expected next year. It is cash flow positive and the stock momentum is very positive. The last quarter was excellent and blew away estimates. It is 43X earnings--expensive, but not crazily so considering its growth. Robinhood's recent momentum adds fuel to a growing and reengaging customer base, with the accelerated pace of net deposits and Gold-subscription growth the strongest year to date in the most recent monthly data available. Sustaining it is key, with promotions a likely support after fueling the robust 1Q pace that helped lift monthly active users to 13.7 million in 1Q -- the highest since 2Q22. Mr. Tenev is a huge crypto advocate, and has done a decent job growing the company so far. He has a lot to learn as a newly-public CEO, and has certainly made lots of mistakes. But we do think he is improving. We do not really know Mr. Bhatt's story very well. Bloomberg shows insiders at about 4%.
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