Opinions
Mike Philbrick
Horizons Global Lithium Producers Index ETF
HLIT-T
PAST TOP PICK
May 23, 2023
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Longer term, this will probably balance out. But lithium market had significant changes in the last year, and that's why you keep tabs on your portfolio more than just once a year. Reduction in lithium prices due to weak demand and over-supply. Back away.
Remember that these "explore" ideas are not "core". Smaller positions with stop losses.
The energy transition from fossil to renewable takes time. That's the reality. There's plenty of lithium in the world, but how quickly can we get it to market? The market was surprised by how quickly brine mining in Chile. Also, people aren't buying EV's as quickly as the market expected. Lithium is close to the bottom, so the risk/reward looks good. He doesn't buy ETFs for his clients, but owns SQM and Albemarle.
A longer-term play. Lithium prices have been done, but economies are decarbonizing (EVs). These cards need lithium, and this secular trend will continue. But lithium and this ETF will be volatile.