Stockchase Opinions

Richard Croft HBP Financials Bull+ E.T.F. HFU-T TOP PICK Sep 19, 2008

Canadian banks and insurance companies. Thinks this is near the end game for the financials and had their bottom in July. Expect they will lead the market out of this. This is a “double up” instrument.
$13.920

Stock price when the opinion was issued

E.T.F.'s
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TOP PICK
Basically, you are buying financial service stocks, which will give you twice the exposure to the upside of those particular stocks. If he is right about the market retesting its lows, he would want to be exposed to the financials. The financials will lead us out of this.
COMMENT
MER is 1.15% plus there’s a forward transaction underlying it for a total of about 1.5%. You will get the dividends, but there will also be a cost on the leverage. They don't actually buy the stocks, but buy the futures market for exposure. Great product for trading but is not a product he would invest in for a long term. From a long-term perspective you are going to have difficulties seeing returns give you 2X but you are always going to have 2X market risk. You are probably better off margining a bank ETF or at a bank type of index to get the same kind of leverage.
WEAK BUY
Horizon BetaPro Financial Bull EFT- Has come out with a number of products, some are 2-times levered to the upside of the market, some are 2-times levered to the downside of the market. It’s a great way to play the financial market. Know that it is levered.
BUY
This is the bullish strategy ETF on the banking sector. He likes the banks and thinks most of the bad news is out of them.
TOP PICK
Financial double bull ETF. Thinks financials have bottomed and that they are going to see a decent rally.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Sep 19/08 Down 35.20%) This is the risk with leveraged ETFs
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick March 27/09. Up 143.75%.)
TOP PICK

Financial double bull ETF. Not a long-term hold, but thinks it will be an interesting play for the 1st 6 months next year.

DON'T BUY

HFU or XLF? A double-leveraged ETF (HFU) carries more risk that isn't present in a single-leveraged one. Be careful with these. Not for long-term investors. Generally. If long-term, stick with a plain vanilla ETF instead of the double-leverage one.