Gordon Reid
Corning Inc
GLW-N
DON'T BUY
Jan 11, 2023
Too expensive for what you're getting, over 20x earnings. Whole space has stalled. Within the company, any promise would be in opticals such as 5G, automotive displays.
They make gorilla glass for the iPhone and flat screen TVs. 5G will cause their fibre business to grow. Hey have huge free cash flow, more than a reasonable valuation, and double digit growth with a growing dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $48.38)
Longer term, room for growth. A company with low earnings predictability. During times of angst, market is not as confident in it, so it trades off. Valuation of 14.5x earnings. Glass for technology and fibre optics. Decent hold, expect volatility.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly GLW is the maker of Gorilla Glass, vaccine vials, and glass products used in LED display and fiber optics. It operates in 15 countries. Recent earnings seem to demonstrate the continued ability to pass along rising costs to its customers, making it a good inflation hedge. And with next years earnings expected to be stronger, it supports a 13x earnings valuation, compared to peers at 28x. The dividend has been growing for 13 consecutive years and is expected to be a payout ratio of <45%, based on next year's earning outlook. The company has been using some cash reserves to buy back stock and retire debt, but there is plenty still left in the tank. We recommend a stop loss at $27, looking to achieve $46 -- upside potential over 30%. Yield 3.0% (Analysts’ price target is $46.10)
(A Top Pick Jun 28/21, Down 19%) Sold it last fall for $36. They're a cyclical stock, suffering supply chain shortages. Sales are down. But a great company. Make fibre-optic company. Looking to re-enter this after the supply chain rectifies.
(A Top Pick May 12/22, Down 2.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with GLW is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $27) to $29 at this time.
Best of companies in sector. Lots of business models and joint ventures. Not a good business in recession (consumer spending). Likes company, but wait to buy (not cheap, but not expensive). Wait to buy.