Stockchase Opinions

Stephanie Link, Chief investment strategist, Hightower GE Vernova GEV-N BUY Oct 04, 2024

Is up 96% since GE spun it out. A winner, though not cheap. It's part of a secular theme of an energy transformation from now to 2050, fuelled by AI.

$263.895

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WATCH

Don't rush out and buy. Typically, spinoffs don't have the easiest time out of the gate, jury's out on Vernova. Just hold the original GE for now.

PARTIAL BUY

Is up 96% since GE spun it out. A winner, though not cheap. It's part of a secular theme of an energy transformation from now to 2050, fuelled by AI.

BUY

It sells on good news, and they're about to report. It attracts data centres, because they will generate nuclear power in 2030.

BUY

Wind and solar power aren't enough to power the energy-hungry data centres that gen AI needs. Rather, natural gas is the baseload--nat gas will power gen AI. GEV has huge cash flow. They just announced a $6 billion buyback and a 25-cent dividend. GEV is the best of the GE spin-offs of years ago.

BUY

Has nuclear exposure, but little. It's expensive, but GEV has natural gas turbines connected to data centres, so it's solid.

HOLD
Sell this to buy GEHC?

No. Stock's moving up on the electrical plays that are being talked about across the world. One of the major suppliers of equipment all along the chain. Massive demand. Likes this play, would continue to hold. If you want to take a bit of profit, that's OK.

BUY

It reports Wednesday. Data centres are red hot and need energy and power plants, which they will need from GEV. GEV had a good 2024 and should have a good 2025.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

 Is up 200% since spinning off from GE last April. Nuclear power is a small part of their business and it will take years to pay off. But they have a strong backlog of orders a record $13.2 billion worth; revenues are up a solid 5% YOY, but EPS fell far short. Free cash flow as a little light. Their business is 50/50 equipment and services; they sell equipment which they then service for years, which is a great setup. The equipment backlog is up 50% in the past two years, largely from price increases and customs have no choice but to pay off. So headline numbers in their recent earnings were disappointing, but their backlog numbers are phenomenal. If they can maintain their pricing power, then shares will continue to rise.

PARTIAL SELL

She's up 160%, so she trimmed it. It's fairly rich. Are better opportunities in data centres like Eaton. Would buy back GEV at better levels.