Stock price when the opinion was issued
He sold it at $295 recently. Loves the company, but earnings revisions came down. He bought at $262. He may re-buy it if the price and valuation are right. FedEx is a dominant player and the management team proves they can execute. The founder family still owns a lot of shares, and such families don't make crazy decision to preserve their stake. Also, cost savings and a huge share buyback are plusses. Also, they have fewer unionized employees than UPS.
Last night, they reported a surprisingly good quarter, so shares jumped 2.3%. It has struggled since summer 2024 and especially during the tariff spring of 2025. Is still -17.6% this year and has been downgraded recently. Total revenue is +3% YOY, driven by core FedEx express business. Adjusted EPS easily beat and issued a positive full-year forecast. They raised revenue growth outlook. Cutbacks, like removing stations and pick-up times, (Network 2.0) is cutting costs without angering customers. Also, are making their European business more efficiency with more productivity. He sees more upside, though is a little cautious due to tariffs. FedEx has done very well navigating this tricky economy. Trades at under 13x PE, cheap. Pays a safe 2.5% dividend.
Write downs caused by Amazon? He holds this in the large cap portfolio. The macro issues surrounding trade issues with China has impacted them. They will no longer be shipping for Amazon, but it was only a couple of percentages points of their business. He is excited about their involvement in e-commerce. Their cost model is highly adjustable to new technology -- like autonomous vehicles. It is trading at the lowest valuation metrics in the past two decades. He thinks this is transitory for the most part.