Stockchase Opinions

Glenn MacNeill, P.Eng. Duke Energy Corporation (A) DX.A-T COMMENT Nov 30, 2005

Spinning off a small part of its company into Duke Energy Income Trust. It represents 9 mid-stream plants located in Alberta. Likes the trust. Hopes to buy when the trust comes out.
$34.350

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical utilities
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BUY
A good solid company. Have some great assets. The industry is mired in issues regarding capital and how they're going to get it. Should be some reasonable upside.
SHORT
A way overvalued. A premium name, so you have to be careful if you are shorting it.
TRADE
Q:"What companies could profit from liquid natural gas?" A:"You want to focus on some of the utility names. It's only 3% of the market and there are large groups opposing shipments."
DON'T BUY
Biggest power supply in the Southeast US plus gas pipelines on the West Coast. 5% dividend. Had too much exposure to merchant energy to power plants with no contracts in place. Have sold most of these. Still an oversupply that will last several years
HOLD
Very solid company. Bench mark utility. Over time they have been improving DENA (Duke Energy North America), selling off some assets, repositioning. Essentially trades off its dividend right now. Fairly valued. Might be some modest upside in the dividend.
BUY
A midstream player. They gather gas and they process gas. A great defensive play. Also has the option of getting projects and assets from the parent as well as 3rd party transactions.
WAIT
Splitting their natural gas and electric businesses into 2 companies. Good yield. P/E ratio of around 17, which is a little more expensive than he likes. Wait to see how the split affects the price.