Opinions David Baskin
Dow Inc. (Formerly Dow Chemical) (DOW-N)DOWCOMMENTMar 02, 2016
David BaskinUnknown
$49.62
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$33.97
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
chemicals
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COMMENT
Up 78% in Q1 and one of the best performers on the S&P. It started to rise early this year because the market expected many interest rate cuts this year. Then, it went up because of petrochemical shortages caused by the Iranian government. LYB is at a risk of a pullback before the war ends. Maybe, maybe not.
chemicals
WEAK BUY
Hope that it rises from the ashes as AT&T did?
Not sure it's going to rally the way AT&T did. Very different sectors. In his modelling, he's been in accumulation mode. Likes it at these levels on a risk/return basis, screens well for value. High yield is probably a risk factor at this point. Not a lot of upside potential to analysts' price target.
(Analysts’ price target is $32.00)
chemicals
DON'T BUY
Chemical companies are industrials, and industrials do poorly during recessions. Shipments are down 14%, so earnings will struggle. 7x earnings. Dividend hasn't grown in last 5 years, so higher inflation wipes out your income. Yield is unattractive at 5.6%, which is only high because stock price has come down. Instead, he owns DHR and TMO.
chemicals
BUY ON WEAKNESS
We'll be in a trading range in the short term at least. The Fed is so behind the inflation curve; inflation so high. Can the Fed engineer a soft landing? Even 7 rate hikes won't cure inflation. We need to fix supply chains. On the positive side, she always felt 2022 growth will be slower than 2021, because fiscal supports have ended. Housing is still strong. Banks are lending, and consumers have historically high amounts of cash to spend. She is adding during this weakness to Dow Chemicals and American Express for example. Look for solid fundamdentals.
chemicals
PARTIAL BUY
One of the world's largest chemical producers. It is very highly cyclical. He thinks we will get through this. It had a nice bounce. Management has said they don't intend to trim that nice dividend. You need a year and a half to two years as an investment horizon. It could go down in the short term. It is a great way to play a cyclical recovery.
chemicals
Merging with DuPont (DD-N). This will be one of the great industrial companies of the world. They make products that everybody needs in the manufacturing business. Assumes there will be synergies because of cost cutting, and that there will be more pricing power than what they currently have. In the chemical industry much is dependent on the price of feedstock, which is oil and natural gas. This is one that people are going to want to own.