Stockchase Opinions

Mike Philbrick SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF DIA-N COMMENT Jul 16, 2021

Having a tilt towards tech has worked well. While we get into low inflation, these will do well. There are signs that underlying the surface of index returns, the market may not be as healthy as it might appear. A narrow group of stocks are driving the returns.
$346.740

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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Buy Dec 2010 $100 Call and $100 Put for $18.80. Betting that DIA will be above 11800 or below 8200. That’s the options market giving you the range of uncertainty in the market today. If would have to close at exactly 10000 in Dec 2010 to loose everything.
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(Do not purchase this top pick until around mid-October.) He prefers the Diamonds over the SPDR’s because of his technical criteria. You want to be in securities that are outperforming the market, which in this case is the S&P 500 and right now the Diamonds are outperforming the S&P 500.

COMMENT

A Broad ETF that covers cyclical stocks? The most cyclically oriented index would probably be the Dow Jones. It is primarily industrials.

PAST TOP PICK

(A top pick Sept 28/12. Up 16.04%.) Normally you want to buy diamonds right around October and hold it right through until May of each year. He got out around the 1st week of May, which is the end of seasonal strength of the US equity market.

TOP PICK

Chose this because during the last 4 weeks, the Dow has been outperforming the S&P 500 a little. Thinks there is a really good reason for this and it will continue at least until January. It has to do with something that happened today in the market. These companies have tons of cash which is starting to burn a hole in their pockets. Many of these companies are probably going to be announcing share buybacks when they release their 4th quarter results. That whole area is getting lined up for anticipation of good news.

COMMENT

A good ETF for a 15-year-old? This one would be excellent. Trades at 1/100 the value of the Dow Jones industrial average, and is a great way to start. Because you live in Canada, he would put half your money in Canada and half in the US. For Canada, he would probably look at iUnits S&P/TSX 60 ETF (XIU-T).

TOP PICK

The technicals are positive as well as the seasonality. It takes off this time of year. 60% of Dow company earnings are international. Currency means you have a 5% growth already just from currency changes.