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CarvanaCVNATOP PICKFeb 19, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 11, 2026. Market Open.
CVNA has bounced back nicely in the past few years. Growth expectations are for 20%+ in the next few years, and analysts expect margin expansion. Analyst estimate trends are rising, it is now profitable, and it generates a healthy amount of free cash flow, most of which is used for buybacks. It trades at a high valuation of 82X forward earnings, but we feel this can compress if earnings continue to grow at a rapid pace. We think it looks interesting here, and would be comfortable buying today while acknowledging its high risks and volatility.
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Moving up in a step pattern -- rallies, consolidates at the higher level, rallies, consolidates. A fantastic accumulation pattern, extremely well supported. Now consolidating. As long as it holds above $100 support, it's still being accumulated.
The 5-year chart is very interesting. Massive selloff, huge multi-year base, and now it's broken out. Looking at where it was, looks like it's just getting started longer term.
Record 2025 results with 43% retail unit growth, $951M net income, and strong customer satisfaction. Outlook for 2026 is for continued significant growth in units sold and Adjusted EBITDA, supported by expanded infrastructure and operational efficiencies. Social media mentions are up 1217% in the past 24h.