Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase Insights CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD-Q BUY Sep 01, 2023

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Numbers/outlook were good. CRWD reported EPS of 74c vs estimates of 56c. Sales were $731M vs estimates $724M. Sales rose 6% but recurring revenue rose sharply, it won a very large single order, and profitability is improving fast. Guidance was increased, though not by a huge amount. The backlog is growing, it has $2.4B net cash, and we would consider these very solid results overall.
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BUY

It reports Tuesday. We just had 3 cybersecurity companies report weak quarters. CRWD shares are above the last quarter when it missed and slumped. But he believes in it--if they survive that massage outage, you should own this. 

BUY

They reported a solid quarter yesterday but shares slid 5.77% today. Well, the stock came in hot, rallying 64% from the April lows. It was priced for perfection. The report delivered in-line sales and an earnings beat, but next quarter's guidance was light. He raised his price target--the quarter was good.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Cybersecurity is the utility of technology, a necessity. Not economically sensitive, so won't get a big boost in a strong economy. But it's very consistent.

He owns this and a cyber ETF. Expectations in the group are high, and the multiples aren't cheap. He doesn't actually have a ton of tech exposure right now, having moved to more economically sensitive names.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 11/24, Up 26%)

Is the top cybersecurity stock. They just accredited to get more involved in US operations, a huge market. He has used this as a source of funds, like selling in May.

BUY

CRWD and PANW are volatile, but demand is so strong for cybersecurity that these are long-term winners.

BUY

It was downgraded today, but share have had a massive comeback since last July's outage. The CEO spoke to many customers to keep most of his business. He expects the company will get contracts out of the companies he offered discounts to last summer.

BUY

Up 135% from the outage last summer and up nearly 40% before that outage. Cybersecurity is essential and CRWD is well-run. An amazing turnaround.

TOP PICK

Trades at a high PE, but they lead cybersecurity, a massively growing business. He bought in June 2024 at $306, then they caused a massive outage to plunge shares to $230, so he bought more.

(Analysts’ price target is $485.37)
BUY

Yesterday, it reported a good quarter, apart from a soft revenue outlook, including an earnings beat. Shares initially fell, then bounce back. 

TRADE

Likes cybersecurity theme, as threats will only grow in the future and get more costly. Fairly volatile, so he trades it. Now at 200-day MA, where there's been some support. Chance of a small rebound. Trades at 98x forward PE for 17% EPS growth. All these names trade at a premium.