The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
ConocoPhillips
COP-N
TOP PICK
Mar 03, 2022
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly The recent tragic events in Ukraine underscore the urgency of security of energy supply and that is why COP is reiterated as a TOP PICK. With holdings in the most prolific basins in the US -- Eagle Ford shale, Bakken shale, and Delaware Basin and term debt that is only 23% of the capital structure makes this a good strategic fit. We also like that they have building cash reserves while paying down debt and buying back shares and it pays a dividend backed by a payout ratio of 33% of cash flow. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $50) to $80, looking to achieve $115 -- over 16% upside. Yield 1.45% (Analysts’ price target is $103.56)
(A Top Pick Jun 24/21, Up 55%) He's adding to this. Energy remains attractive as oil prices remain firm. The current pullback in oil prices opens an opportunities. Pays a 2% dividend. 10% free cash flow. Will buyback shares and pays dividends.
A good proxy for the energy sector. Can't comment on short-term trading, because it all depends on where crude oil and nat gas prices go. It's a well-run company and pays an okay dividend, though not high.
Energy remains a favoured sector as oil and gas prices remain up from supply constraints. A large, diversified operator with lower production costs. Trades at 10x, a little expensive, but still high quality.
He remains overweight energy in this name and others. Oil is a great hedge to geopolitical risk, like a flare-up in Iran or the Russian war. Also, we're entering summer driving season. Also, oil will benefit from a rotation into the value trade. Oil companies are fundamentally sound.