David Dietze
Avis Budget Group
CAR-Q
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Mar 21, 2017
All the rental car companies are extremely volatile. They tend to be small. A lot of the spending that goes there is very cyclical. No one has to rent a car. They are also up against Uber. However, the companies are cheap and just crying out for consolidation. On pullbacks, he would add to positions.
Avis bought out Avis Europe at the beginning of the 4th quarter and basically took a write off. Has recovered very strongly from the great recession. There is a little bit of growth in the number of cars being rented. 1st and 4th quarters are their worst quarters but they make money in the summer. Margins are being squeezed by competition and people unwilling to pay.
The whole rental business is going through a difficult period. The popularity of Uber is actually a negative for car rentals. It is quite competitive in terms of pricing. The business is pretty difficult and she would not invest there.
Used cars took off two years ago, and this got caught up in meme trading. Their PE is way off the charts, and used car prices are declining. We also face a recession if not now then next quarter.
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All the rental car companies are extremely volatile. They tend to be small. A lot of the spending that goes there is very cyclical. No one has to rent a car. They are also up against Uber. However, the companies are cheap and just crying out for consolidation. On pullbacks, he would add to positions.