Opinions Josef Schachter
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd.BXE.TOPAST TOP PICKOct 09, 2018
Josef SchachterOwned
$1.40
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$0.38
As of Nov 08, 2019. Market Open.
oilgas
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COMMENT
Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult for companies to accept as it has provisions for up to 15% of ownership being made available in warrants to the government.
Josef SchachterUnknown
oilgas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 18/18, Down 94%) The whole thing about low energy prices and the debt restructuring meant the stock got beat up. He will be adding to this position. People need to see that they can service the debt and then see the price of nat. gas firm up.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
COMMENT
BNP and BXE Both are carrying high levels of debt. BNP-T has been paying down debt and will try to keep production flat. He intends to buy more of both. BXE-T will be doing a 12:1 reverse split on the shares sometime in June.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 03/18, Down 80%) Problem is trying to renegotiate the debt due in the next year or two. So it had to do a restructuring and massive dilution of shares. Still generating cash flow. Sees upside. Could be a $1 stock a year from now. He's going to be adding. Likes management.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 12/18, Down 57%) Under one times cash flow. People are worried about their debt, but he does not see a problem. He likes the company. It is a gift. He bought more.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 15/18, Down 76%) Every 10 cents adds one point five million bucks. The market is worried about the balance sheet but it is very low in valuation. When these stocks take off, they really take off.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
TOP PICK
They are going to do well in 2019. It is trading at half of one times cash flow. If we get positive swings they could do terribly well. They are working with debtors to extend terms. He thinks they will have success and the stock is a giveaway. He is looking for a 10 bagger in five years. (Analysts’ price target is $0.66)
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 18/17, Down 63%) All the natural gas stocks have been suffering. All of these companies have debt loads and suffer at these prices. But storage is coming down rapidly. The next cold spell will drive gas prices up. Be bought stock last week. A year from now all three of these names should look really good. They have positive cash flow because they have firm hedges.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
DON'T BUY
He's been short this. The balance sheet is very impaired. It needs to reorganize. The assets themselves are fine, but they went on a buying spree and now carry a lot of debt. This has lagged its peers in recent years. A bankruptcy is possible.
James HodginsOwned
oilgas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 09/17, Down 66%) This is a very cheap stock. This company has the ability to ramp up production significantly. They are NOT going under. The book value is about $11. He keeps on adding to the position. It will be double digit within 3 years.
Josef SchachterOwned
oilgas
(A Top Pick December 18, 2017. Down 33%). He was early in his recommendation of this company, but it is doing the right things. It is extending the maturity of its debt. The company was over $3 a year ago. Production in Q2 was up compared to Q1. It will drop for Q3 because of a slowdown in production due to the low AECO prices (see http://www.gasalberta.com/gas-market/market-prices). Q3 will be the trough in production. Bellatrix has just announced a junior acquisition that will add about 2000 boe per day. He expects to see a 40,000 run rate in Q1 with over $1 in cash flow. Book value is $12.11, which is ridiculously higher than the current price. The company is in the Spirit River play, which is liquids-rich. He expects the stock to rise to $7 a year from now.