Bellatrix Exploration Ltd.BXE.TOWAITOct 14, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 08, 2019. Market Open.
Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult for companies to accept as it has provisions for up to 15% of ownership being made available in warrants to the government.
They are more levered towards natural gas. It all comes down to being able to live with the volatility. Anything related to Montney natural gas is betting on LNG, which may not come quickly enough. He would stay away.
This is kind of small for him. Stock has been going down a lot. He would wait to see a bottom at around the current price. His model price is $18.68. He suspects that all the energy stocks will be coming down materially because earnings estimates will be a lot lower in a week or 2. If it went above $6.37, he would be interested in putting on a trade. This is not where the action is. The action is in the big caps, which is where he would go.