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Opinions Gordon Reid
Bristol Myers SquibbBMYCOMMENTSep 07, 2016
Gordon ReidStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 28, 2026. Market Open.
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She hopes healthcare stocks rebound; they've been up this year and being beaten down for a long time. BMY is +19% this year. Trades below 10x PE and produce $11 billion free cash flow this year, $15 billion in 2027, pays over a 4% dividend. There's value here. With their cash flow, they can buy their way to growth.
EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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They have huge oncology franchise, but face a huge patent cliff. But they have a some promising drugs. He owns this partly for the 5.6% dividend. He took shares off the table when the stock spiked earlier this year, but at current levels, he's watching the price go lower before buying again.
It's turned around in the last 6 months under the new CEO, rallying 40%. In the face of expiring drug patents, they launched a revolutionary schizophrenia drug. He also likes the rest of their pipeline to treat cardiovascular disease and oncology. He bought shares late last year.
There are a couple of issues with this. They had a very disappointing phase 3 trial on an oncology drug, which caused the stock to drop quite precipitously. Also, the big pharmas are anticipating the potential of a Clinton administration. Prior to the oncology testing results, this was trading close to 30X earnings, and is now in the low 20s, far, far too dear of a price to pay for their growth metrics of a traditional Pharma.