Stockchase Opinions

Lorne Steinberg Becton Dickinson BDX-N WATCH Jan 22, 2021

90% of the things they make are disposables. They make syringes among other things. The products are diversified and one does not dominate their revenues. There are many operations that should have happened but have not due to covid. Earnings will accelerate once covid has subsided and procedures restart.
$260.490

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Healthcare
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BUY
Biggest manufacturer of syringes in the world. It is a large business with multiple moving parts so they have been range bound for the last little while. He likes their opportunities to generate cash flow and so it is a good name to hold.
WAIT
The company supplies hospitals with medical supplies. 90% of their products are disposable. They have been hurt from COVID as operations have been delayed and it looks that may continue. In a normalized time, they are well situated for an aging population, which should translate into double-digits earnings growth going forward.
TOP PICK

Healthcare supplier in North America.
90% of products are disposable - creates recurring revenue.
Expecting double digit earnings growth.
Fantastic M&A growth with good management team.
Dividend growing at a regular pace.

BUY

Pays a good dividend, is held by institutions, great earnings and has global exposure.

BUY

They have incredible reach with 90% of hospital patients touching one of their surgical and medical products

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Share have been flattened, but it's now cheap. They tell a good story.

DON'T BUY
BDX vs. TMO

Avoid TMO because their revenues are flattening. Both trade at a high PE. BDX hasn't done much in share movement. He'd rather pay more for Boston Scientific which performs better.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 04/23, Down 13%)

Still really likes it. Major issue was surgeries on hold during Covid. Revenues declined, now returning to growth. Free cashflow yield ~4.5%. Earnings growth should return to double digits by end of 2024 and into the next couple of years. Unique. Compelling value.

TOP PICK

With a market cap of over $60 billion it is the largest player in the medical disposables sector with 25% market share. Growth stalled for two years during COVID but is accelerating now. Its profits are solid so there is lots of room for acquisitions and a start to buying back shares. Trades at 17X earnings and there should be double digit earnings growth ahead. Can be somewhat volatile.       Buy 16  Hold 2  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $281.00)
HOLD

90% of their products are disposable medical supplies. Problem was that during Covid, there were fewer operations, so sales fell and are slowing catching up--8-10% growth annually in the next few years, he thinks. Stock is cheap now, but the stock has done nothing for him. Has excellent prospects.