Opinions
Bill Harris, CFA
Badger Daylighting
BDGI-T
DON'T BUY
Dec 15, 2020
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Downtrend since earlier this year, along with energy stocks in general. Over the next month and a half, energy is historically weak or sideways. January-April is a time of really positive seasonality.
Price momentum started to improve. RSI started to tick up. Started to see institutional buying. Short-term price trend started to pick up. All of this tells him that the bigger downtrend is reversing, and now seeing signs of new uptrend. Next target is around $46, roughly 10% upside from here. Likes it here, attractive long-term entry point.
Stands to benefit from clarity about where to allocate spending after the US election. Will benefit from US spending on infrastructure and energy. Biggest hydrovac excavation company in NA. Big pickup right after US election, expects a new high on revenue this cycle, as well as on margin profile. Also buying back stock.
Very attractive valuation multiple. Prime takeout candidate if it stays at these levels. Yield is 1.9%.
In an excellent position. Most operations are in US. Business is really booming. US election gave management clarity on how to allocate capital. Despite tariff concerns, what they're making is long-term, critical investments. If it stays cheap, possible takeout by private equity or a strategic acquisition.
He owned it for 5 minutes last spring. They had a great business plan, making money and were well-financed. But this year blew that out of the water. Things changed so fast because of Covid. This shot up so quickly that he sold it. Russel Metals has better value now.